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Almost 40 in, what u see is what u get....


THECATMAC
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If we don't see the injury bug continue, I think that whatever we have after about 60 games is going to be much more representative than what we see right now. I think that they'll end up being a borderline second-spot wildcard team. If things going right, they may get the first wildcard spot. If things going wrong, they'll finish a game or two under 500. It's such a long season.

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1 hour ago, Casimir said:

I'm 44.  Are you saying there's even less hope for me to turn things around?

At the age of 40 I was a mediocre .500 person. I've been streaking through my 40s. Turn 50 next month, my friends and families expect a regression to the mean.

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2 minutes ago, lordstanley said:

At the age of 40 I was a mediocre .500 person. I've been streaking through my 40s. Turn 50 next month, my friends and families expect a regression to the mean.

My 40s were great.  It's been all down hill since I turned 50.  

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7 hours ago, lordstanley said:

At the age of 40 I was a mediocre .500 person. I've been streaking through my 40s. Turn 50 next month, my friends and families expect a regression to the mean.

They should trade you now while you are at your peak value.

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I can vouch for my 40's.  I am healthier.  By far.  I turned 40 in Oct 2013 and earlier that year I had a herniated disc in my neck  Worse pain ever and it scared the crap out of me because I heard stories about people having neck/back issues that never went away.  Luckily for me with some initial medication, like 19 shots, and physical therapy it went away.  The therapist said it all started with my hamstrings.  They were so tight and the tendons and such run up all along your back to your neck and the compression was pushing down on my vertebrae and pushing the discs out and hitting a nerve.  After that I started going to fitness classes with my wife, who started her own thing 3 or 4 years earlier.  Now I go to the gym 3-4 times a week.  I run 5K's a few times a year.  Some of my best friends are from these classes.  It's at our community center so everyone is local  

I'm better at 43 than I was even at 33.  By far.  At that point my kids were young, things were very busy with that.  No time to take care of yourself. Eating like crap.

 

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Here are the World Series winners for the past 25 seasons along with their records after 40 games. (Teams with losing records through 40 games are in bold.)

* 2015: Kansas City Royals, 26-14
* 2014: San Francisco Giants, 25-15 
* 2013: Boston Red Sox, 23-17
* 2012: San Francisco Giants, 21-19
* 2011: St. Louis Cardinals, 22-18 
* 2010: San Francisco Giants, 22-18 
* 2009: New York Yankees, 23-17 
* 2008: Philadelphia Phillies, 22-18 
* 2007: Boston Red Sox, 28-12 
* 2006: St. Louis Cardinals, 25-15 
* 2005: Chicago White Sox, 28-12 
* 2004: Boston Red Sox, 24-16 
* 2003: Florida Marlins, 18-22 
* 2002: Anaheim Angels, 23-17
* 2001: Arizona Diamondbacks, 22-18
* 2000: New York Yankees, 24-16
* 1999: New York Yankees, 23-17
* 1998: New York Yankees, 31-9
* 1997: Florida Marlins, 24-16
* 1996: New York Yankees, 24-16
* 1995: Atlanta Braves, 23-17
* 1994: No World Series
* 1993: Toronto Blue Jays, 21-19
* 1992: Toronto Blue Jays, 25-15
* 1991: Minnesota Twins, 19-21

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Considering the injuries we've had and the poor contribution from a few others and our bullpen issues.... I'm ok with .500.  Actually I think they're a better team that I expected.

I just wish Brad would do the right thing and move VMart out of the cleanup spot.  

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I do not think the revelation that they are .500 should be that shocking.  After 40 you can usually tell what a team is.  Not always of course, but most of the time.  I always hold out hope for the Tigers to buck the trend on things like this and will continue to do that now.  If I had to bet my house on the final record I would pick closer to .500 than anything else at this point.

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1 minute ago, John_Brian_K said:

I do not think the revelation that they are .500 should be that shocking.  After 40 you can usually tell what a team is.  Not always of course, but most of the time.  I always hold out hope for the Tigers to buck the trend on things like this and will continue to do that now.  If I had to bet my house on the final record I would pick closer to .500 than anything else at this point.

statistically, what you have done is always the *best* predictor of what you are going to do. The trick is that that doesn't mean it is necessarily a very good predictor, just that it is the best available.

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I still think that if they can get out of May at around .500 then they're set up to do some damage over the summer.  It's a tough schedule with two long road trips.

Is it a little disheartening to see winnable/all-but-won games go into the L column?  Sure.  But every team has some of that every year.  It's a long season.

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12 minutes ago, Gehringer_2 said:

statistically, what you have done is always the *best* predictor of what you are going to do. The trick is that that doesn't mean it is necessarily a very good predictor, just that it is the best available.

Not to mention the roster isn't going to stay the same throughout the season. It may be the best predictor, but not a very good one. 

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18 minutes ago, Gehringer_2 said:

statistically, what you have done is always the *best* predictor of what you are going to do. The trick is that that doesn't mean it is necessarily a very good predictor, just that it is the best available.

And that's exactly what I argued to the parole board.

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Seriously though, we've had 3 games from JD and practically squat from Cabrera. To be .500 at this point is a blessing from the baseball gods. And look how much better the bullpen is now that Green and Alex are performing and Frankie is out of the 9th. Yet people think the Tigers are lucky because Adduci. OK. 

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19 minutes ago, Yoda said:

Seriously though, we've had 3 games from JD and practically squat from Cabrera. To be .500 at this point is a blessing from the baseball gods. And look how much better the bullpen is now that Green and Alex are performing and Frankie is out of the 9th. Yet people think the Tigers are lucky because Adduci. OK. 

We've got old guys in critical roles - maybe that is part of what make this team seem to me like such a wildcard (in terms of their predictability, not their finish). From week to week they are either going to win or lose 100. Cabrera is at the point in his career he may well be due for a turkey season. It happens to almost everyone. Doesn't mean he might not have few more good ones. Victor showing no power. JV is crazy enough that he could tinker himself into ineffectiveness. Finishes 2nd in the CY and the first thing out of the gate this season he decides to change his mechanics trying to recapture 2011. Now he's walking everyone in sight. Kinsler' BA looking more like that of 35yr old. JD probably going to give us a great bat but horrible defense again.

Then on the other side, Jones may not make it as a  big leaguer - and this one is is pretty big in terms of run prevention. He is so much better than anyone else we have to play CF. Zimmerman is a complete crap shoot at this point - is he going to turn it around or is he Sanchez Part Deux?

And I still don't really like Ausmus managing a pitching staff.

I just can't decide from day to day if I like this team or not.

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3 hours ago, rhino said:

Yep, this is a .500 team.

And despite the struggles in the BP, without the uncharacteristic contributions from AAA by Hicks and Adduci we wouldn't even be at .500

 

I'm thinking you spoke the troof.

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