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The 2020 Presidential Race

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17 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Biden adding a little Eminem to his campaign ad. 

 

That is actually really great imagery.  Wish we were seeing more of this kind of thing than the various PACs running ads here.  I can hardly bear to watch all that negativity and misinformation.  Not to mention poor production.   Currently seeing more from D PACs than R PACs, I presume primarily because Rs aren't spending money in north Texas.    The candidates themselves aren't going too negative, as a rule.

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9 minutes ago, Melody said:

That is actually really great imagery.  Wish we were seeing more of this kind of thing than the various PACs running ads here.  I can hardly bear to watch all that negativity and misinformation.  Not to mention poor production.   Currently seeing more from D PACs than R PACs, I presume primarily because Rs aren't spending money in north Texas.    The candidates themselves aren't going too negative, as a rule.

The Trump ads here have been pretty negative. They have the quality as if they were created by high schoolers. They remind me of commercials for a monster truck rally. The best one is where they claim Biden will give illegal immigrants free health care and the imagery they show are illegals climbing over his border wall. Trump does have some good ones like the ones where he has black small business owners supporting Trump. 

Eminem doesn't license his music so this is kind of big. His Imported From Detroit commercial he did for the Super Bowl would make for a great political ad by itself. 

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1 hour ago, tiger337 said:

And take away his cell phone.  If you want to really drive him crazy, let him keep cable but block all his favorite channels.  

Freeze the TV on MSNBC.

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20 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

I am among the 37.9% and know several others in my shoes who didn't vote for the person you would think. Closed primaries do funny things.

 

I think these numbers are largely meaningless.

It might be more meaningful than we might think. I believe it's way, way less likely someone registering as a D votes Trump than someone registering as an R votes Biden.

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These threads are never ending. Did anyone post the SNL sketch where nate silver showed up and was rolling the die to demonstrate probability?

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4 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

The Trump ads here have been pretty negative. They have the quality as if they were created by high schoolers. They remind me of commercials for a monster truck rally. The best one is where they claim Biden will give illegal immigrants free health care and the imagery they show are illegals climbing over his border wall. Trump does have some good ones like the ones where he has black small business owners supporting Trump. 

Eminem doesn't license his music so this is kind of big. His Imported From Detroit commercial he did for the Super Bowl would make for a great political ad by itself. 

You are probably seeing more Trump ads than I am.  Honestly, the GOP not doing much tv advertising down here.  

The D campaigns themselves are tending to keep it more classy, but those PACs are terrible.  

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58 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Everybody assumes that if polls are off they will be off in favor of Trump. I think it's more than possible polls are off in favor of Biden. 

A huge part of this I believe, will be as the result in a change in youth voting from poll-normal percentages. Sort of like how uneducated whites were under-polled in 2016.

Not so much from "shy" Biden or Trump voters.

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21 minutes ago, Shelton said:

These threads are never ending. Did anyone post the SNL sketch where nate silver showed up and was rolling the die to demonstrate probability?

That was hilarious, and terrifying... In the middle of the cold open.

 

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28 minutes ago, Melody said:

You are probably seeing more Trump ads than I am.  Honestly, the GOP not doing much tv advertising down here.  

The D campaigns themselves are tending to keep it more classy, but those PACs are terrible.  

I don't really have a dog in that race (not my district), but I look forward to never seeing anymore of Van Taylor's ads where he spells he replaces the "L"s in his opponents name with an outline of the state of California

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Interesting nugget about the Secret Service I noted when I was in my previous gig where I worked with them much more closely.   A non-trivial number were being recruited by the casinos in Las Vegas.   The high end discrete security needs of both would dove-tail. 

Another trend was the high profile of the father of the Michigan OL (edit Grant Newsome) who nearly lost his leg (maybe even his life?) in the USSS.  His small network inside the USSS gave me a place to discuss michigan sports stuff because a couple of those guys were being rabbi'd by him. 

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We might just hold on to this Republic thing yet

If not I’m in favor of going back to the Articles of Confederation. Damn the Federal thing, every state is on their own, make your own alliances 

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On 10/30/2020 at 4:31 PM, mtutiger said:

 

Yeah, I think Georgia is trending toward Biden.

warnock was dead in the water a month ago and now he's got a double digit lead.  dems must be voting strategically while the republicans try to out-*** kiss trump.

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1 hour ago, mtutiger said:

I don't really have a dog in that race (not my district), but I look forward to never seeing anymore of Van Taylor's ads where he spells he replaces the "L"s in his opponents name with an outline of the state of California

I don't think I have seen that one.  But honestly, if it isn't on during the Fox 4 evening news, I'm unlikely to see it.   

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2 minutes ago, CMRivdog said:

We might just hold on to this Republic thing yet

If not I’m in favor of going back to the Articles of Confederation. Damn the Federal thing, every state is on their own, make your own alliances 

I propose Michigan make an alliance with Canada and be added as a province. 

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3 minutes ago, CMRivdog said:

We might just hold on to this Republic thing yet

If not I’m in favor of going back to the Articles of Confederation. Damn the Federal thing, every state is on their own, make your own alliances 

Those suits have already been rejected by the state Supreme Court (which is all GOP).  As I understand it it hasn't been @GOP bringing these suits but a wealthy conservative activist with (three, I think) Harris county GOP candidates for state office.

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6 minutes ago, CMRivdog said:

We might just hold on to this Republic thing yet

If not I’m in favor of going back to the Articles of Confederation. Damn the Federal thing, every state is on their own, make your own alliances 

judge is a republican bush appointee.

texas supreme court rejected the same argument earlier.  almost all republicans on the texas supreme court.

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12 minutes ago, Melody said:

I don't think I have seen that one.  But honestly, if it isn't on during the Fox 4 evening news, I'm unlikely to see it.   

They've played it a bunch during Fox 4 in the morning.... (generally the only time of the day I watch local news)

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37 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Ohio is in play again. 

 

I like eleven. Eleven is good.

( now somebody tell me what movie I remember that from? - EDIT: Keitel and Tarantino discussing furniture in Pulp Fiction maybe?)

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30 minutes ago, Melody said:

Those suits have already been rejected by the state Supreme Court (which is all GOP).  As I understand it it hasn't been @GOP bringing these suits but a wealthy conservative activist with (three, I think) Harris county GOP candidates for state office.

Betcha those are the races he’s really trying to affect. 

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