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bobrob2004

2019 Preseason Predictions

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Time to see how bad my predictions were. 

Nick Castellanos:

2019 Prediction – 608 AB | .293/.351/.516 | 27 HR | 87 RBI | 2 SB | 52 BB | 147 K 

2019 Actual – 615 AB | .289/.337/.525 | 27 HR | 73 RBI | 2 SB | 41 BB | 143 K

Includes time with the Cubs.  Walk rate was not as high as I predicted, but everything else pretty much spot on.

Miguel Cabrera:

2019 Prediction – 265 AB | .291/.367/.460 | 9 HR | 41 RBI | 0 SB | 32 BB | 54 K 

2019 Actual – 493 AB | .282/.346/.398 | 12 HR | 59 RBI | 0 SB | 48 BB | 108 K

Biggest fail here was the playing time.  I’m not going to predict big power from him ever again.

Matt Boyd:

2019 Prediction – 177 IP | 11-11 W/L | 4.07 ERA | 1.232 WHIP | 165 K | 53 BB2019 Actual – 185 1/3 IP | 9-12 W/L | 4.32 ERA | 1.230 WHIP | 238 K | 50 BB

Boyd started nice but fell hard in the 2nd half.  Biggest surprise were the strikeouts.

Jeimer Candelario:

2019 Prediction – 544 AB | .241/.337/.410 | 19 HR | 49 RBI | 2 SB | 71 BB | 158 K

2019 Actual – 335 AB | .203/.306/.337 | 8 HR | 32 RBI | 3 SB | 43 BB | 99 K

Only played 94 games, but a disappointing season overall.

Michael Fulmer:

2019 Prediction – 176 1/3 IP | 11-9 W/L | 3.88 ERA | 1.174 WHIP | 149 K | 55 BB

2019 Actual – N/A

Made the prediction before he had TJ surgery.

Christin Stewart:

2019 Prediction – 504 AB | .234/.316/.429 | 20 HR | 72 RBI | 0 SB | 58 BB | 145 K

2019 Actual – 369 AB | .233/.305/.388 | 10 HR | 40 RBI | 0 SB | 34 BB | 103 K

Thought he would have more power.  Hopefully he will next year.

Tyson Ross:

2019 Prediction – 151 2/3 IP | 6-12 W/L | 4.57 ERA | 1.411 WHIP | 124 K | 67 BB

2019 Actual – 35 1/3 IP | 1-5 W/L | 6.11 ERA | 1.670 WHIP | 25 K | 18 BB

Only pitched 7 games.  Hopefully no more Tyson Ross signings.

Niko Goodrum:

2019 Prediction – 460 AB | .228/.303/.420 | 17 HR | 54 RBI | 10 SB | 46 BB | 134 K

2019 Actual – 423 AB | .248/.322/.421 | 12 HR | 45 RBI | 12 SB | 46 BB | 138 K

I should have been more optimistic on his batting average.

Josh Harrison:

2019 Prediction – 485 AB | .260/.296/.361 | 8 HR | 40 RBI | 11 SB | 22 BB | 104 K

2019 Actual – 137 AB | .175/.218/.263 | 1 HR | 8 RBI | 4 SB | 6 BB | 27 K

Turns out Harrison had nothing left in the tank by the time the Tigers signed him.

Jordy Mercer:

2019 Prediction – 505 AB | .230/.285/.331 | 6 HR | 44 RBI | 2 SB | 35 BB | 121 K

2019 Actual – 256 AB | .270/.310/.438 | 9 HR | 22 RBI | 0 SB | 13 BB | 57 K

Injured for about half a year, but better than my prediction. 

Jordan Zimmermann:

2019 Prediction – 157 1/3 IP | 6-13 W/L | 5.49 ERA | 1.468 WHIP | 112 K | 38 BB

2019 Actual – 112 IP | 1-13 W/L | 6.91 ERA | 1.518 WHIP | 82 K | 25 BB

Turns out I was optimistic on Zimmermann.

Grayson Greiner:

2019 Prediction – 401 AB | .217/.296/.314 | 6 HR | 33 RBI | 0 SB | 43 BB | 131 K

2019 Actual – 208 AB | .202/.251/.308 | 5 HR | 19 RBI | 0 SB | 13 BB | 70 K

Only real miss here was the playing time.

JaCoby Jones:

2019 Prediction – 374 AB | .206/.262/.353 | 10 HR | 30 RBI | 15 SB | 21 BB | 130 K

2019 Actual – 298 AB | .235/.310/.430 | 11 HR | 26 RBI | 7 SB | 27 BB | 94 K

Slightly better rate stats than I predicted.  Hopefully next year will be even better.

Matt Moore:

2019 Prediction – 139 IP | 2-20 W/L | 6.02 ERA | 1.561 WHIP | 110 K | 54 BB

2019 Actual – 10 IP | 0-0 W/L | 0.00 ERA | 0.400 WHIP | 9 K | 1 BB

Only pitched 2 games.  Surprised no one on this team lost 20 games.  No more Matt Moore signings.

 

 

 

 

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20 minutes ago, Yoda said:

More actually pitched well when he played but he's the one you're mad about? 

I'm mad that they paid millions of dollars for some to only pitch 2 games.  And there is no way he would have pitched well the entire year. 

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5 hours ago, bobrob2004 said:

Time to see how bad my predictions were. 

Nick Castellanos:

2019 Prediction – 608 AB | .293/.351/.516 | 27 HR | 87 RBI | 2 SB | 52 BB | 147 K 

2019 Actual – 615 AB | .289/.337/.525 | 27 HR | 73 RBI | 2 SB | 41 BB | 143 K

Includes time with the Cubs.  Walk rate was not as high as I predicted, but everything else pretty much spot on.

Miguel Cabrera:

2019 Prediction – 265 AB | .291/.367/.460 | 9 HR | 41 RBI | 0 SB | 32 BB | 54 K 

2019 Actual – 493 AB | .282/.346/.398 | 12 HR | 59 RBI | 0 SB | 48 BB | 108 K

Biggest fail here was the playing time.  I’m not going to predict big power from him ever again.

Matt Boyd:

2019 Prediction – 177 IP | 11-11 W/L | 4.07 ERA | 1.232 WHIP | 165 K | 53 BB2019 Actual – 185 1/3 IP | 9-12 W/L | 4.32 ERA | 1.230 WHIP | 238 K | 50 BB

Boyd started nice but fell hard in the 2nd half.  Biggest surprise were the strikeouts.

Jeimer Candelario:

2019 Prediction – 544 AB | .241/.337/.410 | 19 HR | 49 RBI | 2 SB | 71 BB | 158 K

2019 Actual – 335 AB | .203/.306/.337 | 8 HR | 32 RBI | 3 SB | 43 BB | 99 K

Only played 94 games, but a disappointing season overall.

Michael Fulmer:

2019 Prediction – 176 1/3 IP | 11-9 W/L | 3.88 ERA | 1.174 WHIP | 149 K | 55 BB

2019 Actual – N/A

Made the prediction before he had TJ surgery.

Christin Stewart:

2019 Prediction – 504 AB | .234/.316/.429 | 20 HR | 72 RBI | 0 SB | 58 BB | 145 K

2019 Actual – 369 AB | .233/.305/.388 | 10 HR | 40 RBI | 0 SB | 34 BB | 103 K

Thought he would have more power.  Hopefully he will next year.

Tyson Ross:

2019 Prediction – 151 2/3 IP | 6-12 W/L | 4.57 ERA | 1.411 WHIP | 124 K | 67 BB

2019 Actual – 35 1/3 IP | 1-5 W/L | 6.11 ERA | 1.670 WHIP | 25 K | 18 BB

Only pitched 7 games.  Hopefully no more Tyson Ross signings.

Niko Goodrum:

2019 Prediction – 460 AB | .228/.303/.420 | 17 HR | 54 RBI | 10 SB | 46 BB | 134 K

2019 Actual – 423 AB | .248/.322/.421 | 12 HR | 45 RBI | 12 SB | 46 BB | 138 K

I should have been more optimistic on his batting average.

Josh Harrison:

2019 Prediction – 485 AB | .260/.296/.361 | 8 HR | 40 RBI | 11 SB | 22 BB | 104 K

2019 Actual – 137 AB | .175/.218/.263 | 1 HR | 8 RBI | 4 SB | 6 BB | 27 K

Turns out Harrison had nothing left in the tank by the time the Tigers signed him.

Jordy Mercer:

2019 Prediction – 505 AB | .230/.285/.331 | 6 HR | 44 RBI | 2 SB | 35 BB | 121 K

2019 Actual – 256 AB | .270/.310/.438 | 9 HR | 22 RBI | 0 SB | 13 BB | 57 K

Injured for about half a year, but better than my prediction. 

Jordan Zimmermann:

2019 Prediction – 157 1/3 IP | 6-13 W/L | 5.49 ERA | 1.468 WHIP | 112 K | 38 BB

2019 Actual – 112 IP | 1-13 W/L | 6.91 ERA | 1.518 WHIP | 82 K | 25 BB

Turns out I was optimistic on Zimmermann.

Grayson Greiner:

2019 Prediction – 401 AB | .217/.296/.314 | 6 HR | 33 RBI | 0 SB | 43 BB | 131 K

2019 Actual – 208 AB | .202/.251/.308 | 5 HR | 19 RBI | 0 SB | 13 BB | 70 K

Only real miss here was the playing time.

JaCoby Jones:

2019 Prediction – 374 AB | .206/.262/.353 | 10 HR | 30 RBI | 15 SB | 21 BB | 130 K

2019 Actual – 298 AB | .235/.310/.430 | 11 HR | 26 RBI | 7 SB | 27 BB | 94 K

Slightly better rate stats than I predicted.  Hopefully next year will be even better.

Matt Moore:

2019 Prediction – 139 IP | 2-20 W/L | 6.02 ERA | 1.561 WHIP | 110 K | 54 BB

2019 Actual – 10 IP | 0-0 W/L | 0.00 ERA | 0.400 WHIP | 9 K | 1 BB

Only pitched 2 games.  Surprised no one on this team lost 20 games.  No more Matt Moore signings.

 

 

 

 

Pretty bloody good if you ask me. So next year if your predictions are all bad perhaps I can save some time watching...which I won't do.

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6 hours ago, bobrob2004 said:

I'm mad that they paid millions of dollars for some to only pitch 2 games.  And there is no way he would have pitched well the entire year. 

My guess is they expected him to pitch a bit more than that.  But that's just a guess.

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On 11/30/2019 at 1:34 PM, bobrob2004 said:

I'm mad that they paid millions of dollars for some to only pitch 2 games.  And there is no way he would have pitched well the entire year. 

Moore was 12th on the team in WAR.  Not bad considering we had 53 different players this year.

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2 hours ago, davidsb said:

Moore was 12th on the team in WAR.  Not bad considering we had 53 different players this year.

 I was 23rd on the team in WAR.   

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