Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Motor City Sonics

CFB Playoff Rankings 2016

Recommended Posts

It starts tonight people. 

 

Predicting how they'll rank it

 

1 - Alabama   SEC

2 - Clemson   ACC

3 - Michigan   B10

4 - Washington  PAC

5 - Louisville  ACC

6-  Texas A&M  SEC

7 - Ohio State  B10

8 - Wisconsin  B10

9 - Florida  SEC

10 - Oklahoma  B12

 

 

 

Others, of interest

12. Nebraska

18. Western Michigan

21. Penn State

 

 

As a Michigan fan, I would not be upset with Clemson being ranked higher.   Win out and you're in the Top 4 and get your shot at the whole thing, so it doesn't really matter.   Michigan can beat Ohio State, but it will be hard.    I don't think in a neutral site game that Michigan would beat Alabama, Clemson or Louisville right now, as long as Lamar Jackson is healthy.      So much is going to change, just beat Maryland............its all they can do for now. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BetMGM Michigan $200 Free Offer - Launching Friday (1/22)

BetMGM Michigan Sports Betting
Michigan online sports betting is launching on Friday, January 22, 2021. Pre-register at BetMGM Sportsbook & Casino and get a free $200 bonus at their online sportsbook & casino with no deposit necessary.

Claim $200 at BetMGM Michigan Now

I'd be interested to see what happens if the top four win out except for Alabama, but bama still wins the sec with one loss. Where would they put Alabama in the final ranking? Can't imagine the top seed would like to face bama in the semifinal.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wow,  Surprised they put Texas A&M ahead of Washington

1 - Alabama  SEC

2 - Clemson  ACC

3 - Michigan  B10

4 - Texas A& M  SEC

5- Washington  PAC

6 - Ohio State  B10

7 - Louisville  ACC

8 - Wisconsin  B10

9 - Auburn  SEC

10 - Nebraska  B10

11 - Florida  SEC

12 - Penn State  B10

13 - LSU  SEC

14 - Oklahoma  B12

15 - Colorado  PAC

16 - Utah  PAC

17 - Baylor  B12

18 - Oklahoma State  B12

19 - Virginia Tech  ACC

20 - West Virginia  B12

21 - North Carolina  ACC

22 - Florida State  ACC

23 - Western Michigan  MAC

24 - Boise State   MWC

25 - Washington State  PAC

 

Observations

Four Big Ten teams in the Top 10 at #3, #6, #8 and #10

Top 10 - 4 Big Ten, 3 SEC, 2 ACC, 1 Pac 12, 0 Big 12

Top 25 - 5 Big Ten, 5 SEC, 5 ACC, 4 PAC, 4 Big 12 ,1 MAC, 1 MWC

 

MCS Conference Power Index  (#1=25 pts, #2=24 pts, and so on)

1. SEC,  92

2. B10, 81

3. ACC 59

4. PAC 44

5. B12 35

6. MAC 3

7. MWC 2

 

 

Michigan has beaten #8 and destroyed #12 and #14

 

I think Penn State is way way too high.   I don't think a second SEC team should jump an undefeated PAC team - if Texas A&M doesn't like that they should have won.    I think Louisville (with a healthy Lamar) is too low.  

 

Under my 8 team playoff system with each conference champion getting a slot and 3 at large bids it would be

Slot 1 - Alabama

Slot 2 - Clemson

Slot 3 - Michigan

Slot 4 - Washington

Slot 5 - Oklahoma

Slot 6 - Texas A&M

Slot 7 - Ohio State

Slot 8 - Louisviile

 

Round 1 would be

Alabama vs. Louisville

Clemson vs. Ohio State

Michigan vs. Texas A&M

Washington vs. Oklahoma

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lots of ball yet to be played.  I am also surprised that Washington wasn't in the top 4, but maybe the out of conference is the hold up.

Seems fairly safe to assume the Big XII is the odd conference out, at least at this point.  I'm not sure I buy two teams from one conference getting in just yet.  I get the theory of it, and I have no problem that the specific situation could occur.  I just don't think we are there yet. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Washington's schedule is ****. I wouldn't be surprised to see them left out even if they go undefeated.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Chris Peterson has been doing a number up in Washington, just as I thought he would. Even though Washington doesn't have a tough schedule I still think they deserved to be ahead of Texas A&M given that the Pac 10 isn't THAT BAD of a conference.

As for Michigan, they are right where I expected them to be. It is all in Michigan's hands now. If they win every game except the BIG10 Championship game I still they they make it in. If they lose to Ohio State and then OSU goes and wins the BIG10 title game, they won't make it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think it's unlikely that undefeated Washington is left out.

Was there any comment from the committee regarding these rankings, or are they reserved for after the final ranking?

I wonder whether or not teams are given a bonus for being a presumptive conference champion. My guess would be no.

Haven't they gone on record before as giving some weight to winning your conference?

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Shelton said:

I think it's unlikely that undefeated Washington is left out.

Was there any comment from the committee regarding these rankings, or are they reserved for after the final ranking?

I wonder whether or not teams are given a bonus for being a presumptive conference champion. My guess would be no.

Haven't they gone on record before as giving some weight to winning your conference?

Yah, I think this is basically the case. Washington will jump them if they win the conference and stay undefeated. Also, Washington has a significantly harder schedule going forward. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Edman85 said:

Washington's schedule is ****. I wouldn't be surprised to see them left out even if they go undefeated.

13th most difficult remaining schedule. Not sure if that makes up for it or what. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wow, LSU got harshed, dropped all the way to #24. 

 

Yes, they have 3 losses.   

to #7 Wisconsin on the road by 2 points

to #9 Auburn on the road by 5 points

to #1 Alabama by 10 points,  which was a 0-0 game halfway into the 4th quarter. 

 

They are a 3 loss team that should be ranked about #10 or #11.      They'd beat Penn State and Nebraska.   

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 11/2/2016 at 9:04 AM, Edman85 said:

Washington's schedule is ****. I wouldn't be surprised to see them left out even if they go undefeated.

An undefeated Washington that wins its conference championship does not get left out of the playoffs this year.  You know that won't happen this season with nobody from the Big XII and no mid major taking one of the 4 spots.  The lone wildcard could be Alabama taking a close loss somewhere along the way.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Casimir said:

An undefeated Washington that wins its conference championship does not get left out of the playoffs this year.  You know that won't happen.

Concur now after there has been some carnage in the Big 12 and Ohio State lost. The one scenario where it could  is if OSU beats Michigan in a well-played game, Bama and Clemson go undefeated, and Washington wins an ugly game against a weak Pac 12 South opponent in their Championship game.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Edman85 said:

Concur now after there has been some carnage in the Big 12 and Ohio State lost. The one scenario where it could  is if OSU beats Michigan in a well-played game, Bama and Clemson go undefeated, and Washington wins an ugly game against a weak Pac 12 South opponent in their Championship game.

Sorry, I edited my post above to include an Alabama asterisk.

I think Alabama is the only 1 loss team that jumps any undefeated teams this season.  Whether or not that is the right thing to do, I don't know.  We would have to see how the season plays out.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Agreed.  The one thing we really haven't seen in the playoff era is Conference Championship upsets throwing things into disarray.

Another scenario to consider.  Michigan blows out Ohio State, but Wisconsin beats them in the Big Ten.  Or what if the team that beats Alabama is 2-loss Auburn?

There's some crazy scenarios out there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I hadn't considered Michigan losing in the championship game.  I find that highly unlikely, but you never know.

Same with Auburn beating Alabama.

What the heck, I wouldn't mind a little chaos this season.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Pitt dumps Clemson, but I would imagine Clemson still has the ACC inside track to the playoffs, if that track remains.  North Carolina and Virginia Tech losses don't help that track much.

Auburn losing takes a bit of prestige away from the SEC, but not necessarily from Alabama.

I expect Washington, Michigan, and Louisville to win tonight.  Alabama, Ohio State, and Louisville have won.  The next rankings should be good fodder.  How high will the B1G teams be in the standings?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 hours ago, Casimir said:

I expect Washington, Michigan, and Louisville to win tonight.

I'm still in the majors with a .333 batting average.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Because Clemson and Washington losing means that Michigan's road loss won't hurt them all that much and it still only comes down to one game in two weeks - like it always has.    But the way they played on the road against MSU and Iowa doesn't leave me with a lot of confidence going into Columbus.    The QB was horrible last night and should have been benched (not for the season, just for the night because he didn't have it).  I have been led to believe that going into the season the difference between the Top 3 QBs was slight at best - but Harbaugh wanted to go with a younger guy he could have running things for 3 years instead of 1.   The offensive coaching staff was horrendous all night last night and the play calling on that last possession was brutal.    2 undefeated teams left in the country - one of them is Western Michigan.   

My committee prediction is....

1 - Alabama
2 - Ohio St.
3 - Louisville
4 - Clemson
5 - Michigan
6 - Wisconsin
7 - Washington
8 - Penn State
9 - Oklahoma
10 - Colorado

There is an outside shot that Wisconsin jumps Michigan, which isn't a problem because that argument could be settled in Indianapolis.   I would be annoyed if a team Michigan beat jumped them.    I think that's a reasonable prediction there, maybe Penn State over Washington, but I doubt it.   So with that prediction Michigan has beaten #6 and destroyed #8 and #10.    So as tough as it was to see a loss last night, it's something everyone in the running has had except Bama and we all know whomever gets in the playoff this year will be sacrificed at the Altar of Satan......I mean Saban.    Texas A&M losing was huge for Michigan.     The Big Ten, ACC and SEC will have a seat at the table, and only the ACC will have a shot at two seats.  It looks like the fourth chair belongs to either Washington, if they run the table or Oklahoma if Washington falters.  If both Oklahoma and Washington falter, the ACC will be most likely to get 2.    Sorry Michigan, you are not losing to Ohio St and getting in the playoffs with 2 loses, especially if Penn State and Wisconsin end up with only 1 loss.    Do your job vs. Indiana and then go stun them in Columbus and you control your own destiny. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's possible that Wisconsin could lose to both Michigan and Ohio State and still win the conference championship.  That's awfully odd to comprehend, even with the divisional set up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So presumably it's going to be

Alabama

One of Ohio State/Michigan/Wisconsin (I suppose possibly Penn State if they win out)

Clemson or Louisville

??? Possibly the other of Clemson/Lousville or the Big 10 teams

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
So presumably it's going to be

Alabama

One of Ohio State/Michigan/Wisconsin (I suppose possibly Penn State if they win out)

Clemson or Louisville

??? Possibly the other of Clemson/Lousville or the Big 10 teams

Pretty hard to predict. Clemson still has the inside track to their championship game so I expect that if they win their conference they are surely in as a 2 or 3 seed. The big ten champ, which could be any of the four teams you mentioned, is probably in as the 2 or 3 seed.

So the 4 seed could be interesting. Washington has made it difficult for themselves, but if they win the PAC 12 I think they get in ahead of a second team from the SEC, big ten, or ACC. The big 12 has a chance here too if Oklahoma wins out. They would be 10-2, on a 9 game win streak and undefeated in conference.

If Ohio state wins out, and PSU does also and goes to the champ game, I think 11-1 osu is right there as a possibility for the 4 seed. They would have the head to head win over Oklahoma, and their 11-1 probably looks more impressive than washington's potential 12-1.

Anyway, washington's loss and oklahoma's two losses almost certainly ensures that a 1 loss big ten champ (Michigan or osu) is safely in. If Washington were undefeated they would be in.

But who knows. A PSU or Wisconsin champion would have 2 losses.

One interesting scenario would be 2 loss Wisconsin champ over PSU along with a 11-1 osu team that beat Wisconsin. I think osu could actually finish ahead of Wisconsin in that scenario.

I think that Michigan should just win out and make this whole discussion about the big ten moot. Oklahoma and Washington can fight over the 4 seed.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

Michigan Sports Betting Offer

Michigan is launching online sports betting and casino apps on Friday, January 22, 2021. These top Michigan sportsbooks have pre-launch bonus offers. No deposit is required. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers Michigan - If you sign up at BetRivers Michigan now, you will receive $50 in free bets to use one their online sportsbook & casino

Click Here to claim $50 at BetRivers Michigan For Signing Up Now

FanDuel Michigan - If you register now before FanDuel launches in January, you will receive $100 to use at their sportsbook app & online casino.

Click Here to claim $100 at FanDuel Michigan For Registering Now

BetMGM Michigan - If you sign up early at BetMGM Michigan before launch, you will receive $200 in free bets to use at their online casino & sportsbook

Click Here to claim $200 at BetRivers Michigan For Signing Up Early

   


×
×
  • Create New...