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Where The Red Wings Stand

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Thought I'd start a thread that shows where the Wings sit in various team categories. Any of us can periodically update or add categories (I haven't put any Corsi or advanced stats down there, for example). The numbers below are the Wings through 22 games, just 1.5 games past the season's 1/4 mark.

I sourced the stats primarily from: a) the standings page of ESPN.com 2014-15 NHL Regular Season Divisional Standings - National Hockey League - ESPN b) the interactive Players page of NHL.com 2014-2015 - Regular Season - All Skaters - Summary - Points - NHL.com - Stats and c) the Red Wings page at Hockey-reference.com Detroit Red Wings Franchise Index | Hockey-Reference.com

The Wings have got off to a solid top-10 start and their strength across many categories would suggest it's probably not a fluke. Plus, there aren't too many Wings who I feel are playing way above expectations and are likely to fall back - Howard dropping back to last year's performance would affect results but he has enough of a track record in the past that this year's play doesn't seem exceptional. I don't expect Nyquist to keep a near 40-goal pace either, see him coming in more around 30 and Tatar low 20s. The Wings have had a reasonable share of injuries - not too many especially compared to last year, but not flukily healthy either. Weiss, Datsyuk, Quincey, Smith have missed games - but that type of mix is to be expected. Slightly more home games than road so far, 12-10.

After 22 Games, As At November 27

-The Wings have 29 points, 4 points ahead of last yea'rs first 22 games and 5 points ahead of 2013's first 22 games

-The Wings have the 10th most points in the NHL overall and 5th most points in the Eastern Conference. The Wings are 9th overall in Points/Games Played

- The Wings are 4 points behind 1st overall. The Wings have a game in hand on the two teams, Anaheim and Montreal, tied for 1st overall.

- The Wings goal differential of +10 is tied with Minnesota for 9th overall

- The Wings are 5 points ahead of the playoff cut line. The Wings are actually 7 points ahead of the 9th place team (Florida) in the Eastern Conference, but Ottawa is 6th in the Atlantic division at 5 points behind the Wings and only 5 teams from a division can make the playoffs

-The Wings are on pace to earn 108 points. Last year, 108 points would have placed a team 7th overall, a point behind Pittsburgh and a point ahead of Chicago. Boston and Pittsburgh were the only Eastern -Conference teams last year to finish with more than 108 points

- 108 points would be the Wings' highest point total since 112 in 2008-2009. Since then they've recorded 102, 104, 102, 95 (56 points over 48 games, pro-rated), and 93

- The Wings are tied for 4th overall with Montreal and St. Louis for 12 wins in regulation or overtime, behind only Tampa (14), Pittsburgh (13) and Vancouver (13)

- The Wings are tied for 3rd overall with Nashville for fewest losses in regulation at 5, behind only Anaheim (4) and Pittsburgh (4)

- The Wings over the past 10 games are tied with Chicago for the 6th most points in the NHL in that span at 14, behind only NYI (18), Montreal (16), Nashville (16), Vancouver (15) and Pittsburgh (15)

- The Wings surprisingly are 7th overall in Goals For/Games Played at 2.91, between Vancouver and Chicago

- The Wings are 9th overall in Goals Against/Games Played at 2.32, which is 2nd in the Eastern Conference behind only Pittburgh (2.29)

- The Wings powerplay % has moved up to 11th overall, at 20.2%. Pittsburgh leads the NHL at 33.3%

- The Wings penalty kill % is 2nd in the NHL at 88.6%, behind only Chicago (90.6%)

- The Wings are 12th in the NHL in Shots For Per Game at 30.5.

- The Wings are 2nd in the NHL in fewest Shots Allowed Per Game at 26.5, behind only Minnesota (24.9). That shot differential of +4 shots per game is 4th best in the NHL

- The Wings are 3-1 against Western Conference teams

WIth respect to individuals

- Darren Helm of all people is one of 11 Wings to have played in all 22 games so far

- Zetterberg leads the team in scoring with 19 pts in 22 games-

- Abdelkader is tied for 2nd on the Wings in scoring with 14 points. He's on pace for 22 goals

- Nyquist leads the Wings with 10 goals, which is tied for 9th in the NHL, one behind Ovechkin, and is on pace for 37. Tatar is right behind with 9 goals, tied with Crosby and others for 20th overall, so is on pace for 34

- Kronwall is tied with Weber, Subban and others for 13th in points among defensemen, with 13

- Abdelkader and Jurco lead the Wings in +/- at +5, while Franzen is last on the team with -4

- Kronwall is 1st on the Wings (and 20th in the NHL) in time on ice per game at 24:19, almost 4 minutes more than 2nd place DeKeyser; Clearly and Weiss are the two Wings averaging less than 10:00 TOI/game

- Howard ranks 4th in the NHL in GAA at 2.09 among goalies who have started at least half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been 2.26, 2.79, 2.13, 2.13, 2.66

- Howard ranks 11th in the NHL in Save % at .920 among goalies who have started half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been .924, .908, .920., .923.,and .910

Edited by lordstanley

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Awesome thread because I have been meaning to check their status. They seemed to be doing well. I love being in the east. I catch so many more games.

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Good thread and good post, lots of great info.

I think this year's Wings are fun to watch too. They have some games/periods where it is just bad hockey to watch, but overall they play with good pace and are up on the forecheck.

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Good thread and good post, lots of great info.

I think this year's Wings are fun to watch too. They have some games/periods where it is just bad hockey to watch, but overall they play with good pace and are up on the forecheck.

definitely - this is the 1st Red Wing team in a while for me that is more fun than frustrating to watch.

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9th in the league in PP without a RH shot....

I like this team's chances in the playoffs. We can roll four good lines and the defense is looking surprisingly solid. I hope they keep Ouelett up here when Smith comes back. Kindl or Lashoff would have to go.

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- 2 pts behind Montreal, Anaheim and Vancouver for 1st overall

- tied for fewest regulation losses with 5

- 7 points above the playoff cut line

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The Wings season has reached the 1/3 mark and the Wings have improved in most categories since the 1/4 mark. They've slipped a bit defensively but have surged offensively. Their home-away games played split is skewed toward home games played, 16-11. All in all I'd say the Wings are off to around the 5th best start in the NHL this season.

After 27 Games, As At December 6

-The Wings have 37 points, 4 points ahead of last yea'rs first 27 games and 8 points ahead of 2013's first 27 games

-The Wings are tied with Chicago and Vancouver for the 5th most points in the NHL overall. The Wings have the 4th most points in the Eastern Conference. The Wings are 2nd in the Altlantic Division, 2 points behind Tampa with a game in hand and 1 points ahead of Montreal with 2 games in hand. The Wings are tied with Chicago and Vancouver for 6th overall in Points/Games Played

- The Wings are 2 points behind 1st overall. The Wings have a game in hand on the two teams, Anaheim and Tampa, tied for 1st overall.

- The Wings goal differential of +16 is tied with Nashville for 5th overall

- The Wings are 8 points ahead of the playoff cut line. Florida is 8 behind but with 2 games in hand on the Wings.

-The Wings are on pace to earn 112 points. Last year, 112 points would have tied Colorado for 3rd overall, a point ahead of St. Louis and San Jose. Boston (117 pts)was the only Eastern -Conference team last year to finish with more than 112 points

- 112 points would be the Wings' highest point total since 112 in 2008-2009. Since then they've recorded 102, 104, 102, 95 (56 points over 48 games, pro-rated), and 93

- The Wings are tied for 4th overall with Chicago for 15 wins in regulation or overtime, behind only Tampa (17), Pittsburgh (16) and Vancouver (16)

- The Wings are tied for 1st overall with Pittsburgh and Anaheim for fewest losses in regulation at 6

- The Wings over the past 10 games are tied with NYI and Calgary for 2nd most points in the NHL in that span at 16, behind only Chicago (18)

- The Wings are tied for 4th overall in Goals For/Games Played at 3.11

- The Wings are 9th overall in Goals Against/Games Played at 2.44, which is 2nd in the Eastern Conference behind only Florida (2.40)

- The Wings powerplay % is 7th overall, at 22.2%. Pittsburgh leads the NHL at 29.4%

- The Wings penalty kill % is 3rd in the NHL at 86.6%, behind only Chicago (91.1%) and Minnesota

- The Wings are tied with Florida for 8th in the NHL in Shots For Per Game at 31.0

- The Wings are tied with St. Louis for 2nd overall in the NHL in fewest Shots Allowed Per Game at 26.9, behind only Minnesota (25.3).

- The Wings are 4-1 against Western Conference teams

WIth respect to individuals

- Zetterberg quietly leads the team in scoring with 24 pts in 27games-

- Nyquist leads the Wings with 12 goals, which is tied for 9th in the NHL and is on pace for 36. Datsyuk despite playing only 16 games, is tied for 15th in the NHL with 11 goals. Tatar is right behind with 10 goals, tied 30th overall, so is on pace for 30

- Kronwall is tied for 12th in points among defensemen, with 17

- Weiss has 10 points in 8 games played

- Tatar with 18 points in 27 games is 3rd on the Wings in scoring behind Zetterberg (24) and Datsyuk (19). Tatar is on pace for 54 points, which would have led the Wings last year

- Howard is tied for 6th in the NHL in GAA at 2.21 among goalies who have started at least half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been 2.26, 2.79, 2.13, 2.13, 2.66

- Howard is tied with Bobrovsky for 15th in the NHL in Save % at .917 among goalies who have started half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been .924, .908, .920., .923.,and .910

Edited by lordstanley

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The Wings have now played 43% of their schedule, which is 35 of 82 games.

Obviously the recent 6 games without a win brought the Wings' season down to earth a bit. That was due to a) lack of scoring during regulation and OT; and b) bad shootouts on both sides. The goals against during regulation and OT held up strongly.

Still a solidly top-10 start to the season, but less of a cushion.

The big elephant in the room is the home-road games played split of 22-13. Wings now play 8 of 9 on the road to balance things out. The Wings will hit the halfway point of the season on January 7 after a game in Calgary.

After 35 Games, As At December 26

-The Wings have 45 points, 6 points ahead of last year's first 35 games and 6 points ahead of 2013's first 35 games

-The Wings are tied with St. Louis for the 8th most points in the NHL overall. The Wings have the 5th most points in the Eastern Conference, but only 1 pt behind the 3 teams tied for 2nd in the conference -- TB, Montreal and NYI. The Wings are 8th overall in Points/Games Played

- The Wings are 6 points behind 1st overall Anaheim; the Wings have a game in hand on Anaheim

- The Wings goal differential of +13 puts them 8th overall

- The Wings are 6 points ahead of the playoff cut line. Boston, with 39 points through 35 games, is the team on the outside looking in. Florida is 7 points back but with 3 games in hand.

-The Wings are on pace to earn 105 points. Last year, 105 points would have placed the Wings 8th overall, but behind only Boston and Pittsburgh in the Eastern Conference.

- If the Wings average only a point per game the rest of the way they'd end up with 92 points - that would have been enough for the 8th playoff spot in either conference last year

- The Wings are tied for 10th overall with NYI and San Jose with 17 wins in regulation or overtime. Pittsburgh and Tampa lead the league with 20

- The Wings are tied for 2nd overall with Anaheim for fewest losses in regulation at 8. Pittsburgh leads the league with 7

- The Wings over the past 10 games are tied for only 16th most points in the NHL over that span, with 10 points. Hence the slight slide in the standings.

- The Wings are 12th overall in Goals For/Games Played at 2.83. The Wings were 4th just 8 games ago

- The Wings are 5th overall in Goals Against/Games Played at 2.29, which is 2nd in the Eastern Conference behind only Pittsburgh

- The Wings powerplay % is 4th overall, at 24.1%. San Jose and Washington lead the NHL at 25.0%

- The Wings penalty kill % is 2rd in the NHL at 87.9%, behind only Chicago (90.0%)

- The Wings are tied 10th in the NHL in Shots For Per Game at 30.9. Oddly, the Leafs lead the NHL in Goals/Game but are only 17th in Shots/Game

- The Wings are 2nd overall in the NHL in fewest Shots Allowed Per Game at 27.1, behind only Minnesota

- The Wings are 9th in the NHL in the 5 on 5 Goals For/Goals Against ratio

- The Wings are 4-1-1 against Western Conference teams

- No surprise that the Wings' shootout record of 1-7 is 29th in the NHL, ahead of only Philly (0-5). Howard's shootout save % of .267 is 57th out of 59 goalies who have faced a shootout. Arguably Howard's 11 goals against on 15 shots is worse than the 3 goals on 3 shots of the 2 goalies behind him

- If games at the end of OT were declared ties (so extra points won in the shootout were eliminated), the re-ordered points standings would be 1. Pittsburgh 47. 2. Anaheim 47. 3. Tampa 45. T4. Chicago 44. T4. Detroit 44. 6. Nashville 42. 7. St. Louis 42. 8. Montreal 42. 9. Toronto 41. 10. NYI 40.

WIth respect to individuals

- Zetterberg still leads the team in scoring with 30 pts in 35 games. That ties him for 19th in the NHL.

- Datsyuk is a PPG player with 25 points in 24 games. Weiss is close, albeit on a much-reduced schedule, with 11 points in 12 games

- Nyquist and Tatar lead the Wings with goals with 14, which is tied for 14th in the NHL. That puts them both on pace for 33 goals

- Tatar is on pace for 56 points this season, Nyquist is on pace for 51

- Ex-Wing Jiri Hudler is tied for 15th in the NHL in points with 33 in 35 games. Filppula is 6-19-25 through 36 games- will Weiss (5-6-11 through 12) if healthy match Filppula's production the rest of the season?

- Howard is 5th in the NHL in GAA at 2.06among goalies who have started at least half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been 2.26, 2.79, 2.13, 2.13, 2.66

- Howard is 8th the NHL in Save % at .921 among goalies who have started half of their team's games. Howard's GAA in his 5 seasons as the Wings starter, starting in 2009-2010, has been .924, .908, .920., .923.,and .910

Edited by lordstanley

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Halfway there, with an even 50% of the season played.

Solid top-10 first half of the season. Wings hearing footsteps from the Bruins and Rangers, but apart from Florida and Toronto there's really no team close enough to knock the Wings out of a playoff spot.

Home-road imbalance steadily being addressed. 23 home games, 18 road games to date.

Biggest difference between this year and last, IMO, is Howard's play.He's not too far out of the Vezina conversation.

After 41 Games, As At January 10

-The Wings have 53 points, 8 points ahead of last year's first 41 games and 8 points ahead of 2013's first 41 games

-The Wings are tied with St. Louis for the 8th most points in the NHL overall.

- The Wings are 7 points behind 1st overall Nashville.

- The Wings are 3rd in the Atlantic division. 5 points ahead of Tampa with 2 games in hand, 1 point ahead of Montreal having played an extra game, and 3 points ahead of Boston with 2 games in hand

- The Wings are 6 points ahead of the playoff cut line. Florida has 47 points but 2 games in hand on the Wings; Leafs have 47 points but have played an extra game. Then a dropoff. Ottawa is 13 points behind Detroit with a game in hand, Columbus is 14 points behind Detroit with 2 games in hand

- The Wings goal differential of +13 puts them 9th overall; Chicago leads the NHL at +36

-The Wings are on pace to earn 106 points. Last year, 106 points would have placed the Wings 8th overall, a point behind Chicago and behind only Boston and Pittsburgh in the Eastern Conference.

- If the Wings average only a point per game the rest of the way they'd end up with 94 points - last year 91 points would have been enough for the 8th playoff spot in either conference

- The Wings are tied with 5 other teams for 6th overall in wins in regulation or overtime with 21. Only Tampa (26) and Nashville (24) have more than 22.

- The Wings are tied for 2nd overall with Anaheim and Pittsburgh for fewest losses in regulation at 10. Nashville leads the league with 9

- The Wings have lost ground over the past 10 games with only 12 points, compared to NYR (18), Washington (16), Montreal (16), Tampa (15) and Boston (15) for example.

- The Wings are 13th overall in Goals For/Games Played at 2.80.

- The Wings are 4th overall in Goals Against/Games Played at 2.34, which is 2nd in the Eastern Conference behind only Montreal

- The Wings powerplay % is 2nd overall, at 24.5%. behind only St. Louis

- The Wings penalty kill % is 4th in the NHL at 86.8%. Chicago leads the NHL

- The Wings are 10th in the NHL in Shots For Per Game at 30.7.

- The Wings are 4th overall in the NHL in fewest Shots Allowed Per Game at 27.2. Tampa leads the NHL

- The Wings are 9th in the NHL in the 5 on 5 Goals For/Goals Against ratio

- The Wings are 7-2-1 against Western Conference teams

- The Wings have a mediocre 6-6-6 record within their own division. Tampa in contrast is 10-1-2 vs. the Atlantic, Montreal is 9-3-1 and Florida is 7-1-4

- The Wings' shootout record is a league-worst 1-7. Only LA (1-5) and Philadelphia (1-5) have records almost as bad

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Howard injury is huge. Yikes

Absolutely huge. I don't get the people yesterday who were saying that guys like Dats, Z, Tatar and Nyquist should have made the All Star Game instead of Howard. None of those players are close to the league leaders at their positions. Howard is 2nd in GAA among goalies who have started at least half their team's games and 8th in Save %.

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I'd feel a lot better about the team if Monster were healthy. I like Mrazek well enough, but McCollum scares me a bit

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I'd feel a lot better about the team if Monster were healthy. I like Mrazek well enough, but McCollum scares me a bit

On one hand I'm glad Mrazek will play the bulk of the games instead of Monster, but the prospect of McCollum seeing NHL minutes is not good.

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The Wings at the All-Star Break, 47 of 82 (57%) of season played.

A season to date I'd rank in the top 7 of the league.

The playoffs are a virtual lock. 13 points above the cut line, Florida, with the Panthers having 3 games in hand.

Going 4-2 on the road trip was big as was surviving and thriving so far without Howard.

But still looming like a dark cloud is the fact that only 3 of the Wings' next 14 games are at home. Only 3 home games between now and March 4, and those home games aren't easy either - NYI, Jets and Canadiens, all of which are top 10 in the league. A 6-game road trip in late February is brutal: the 3 California teams, plus league-leading Nashville as well as Chicago

Does seeding really mean that much in the East this year? 7 of the 8 playoff teams, with the exception of Washington IMO, seem roughly equal to me.

After 47 Games, As At January 27

-The Wings have 63 points, which is 13 points ahead of last year's Wings through 47 games and 9 points ahead of the 2012-13 Wings

-The Wings are tied with NYI for the 4th most points in the NHL overall; Wings are 6th overall in Points Per Game.

- The Wings are 5 points behind 1st overall Anaheim

- The Wings are 2nd in the Atlantic division, 1 points ahead of Tampa but with 1 game in hand

- The Wings goal differential of +20 puts them 8th overall; Chicago leads the NHL at +40

-The Wings are on pace to earn 110 points. Last year, 110 points would have placed the Wings 6th overall, behind only Boston in the Eastern Conference.

- If the Wings average only a point per game the rest of the way they'd end up with 98 points

- The Wings are tied with 4 other teams for 3rd overall in wins in regulation or overtime with 25

- The Wings are 3rd overall for fewest losses in regulation at 11. Anaheim and Nashville lead the league with 10

- The Wings are 10th overall in Goals For/Games Played at 2.92

- The Wings have dropped a bit to 7th overall in Goals Against/Games Played at 2.38

- The Wings powerplay % is 2nd overall, at 25.4%. behind only St. Louis

- The Wings penalty kill % is 6th in the NHL at 84.6%

- The Wings have dropped a bit to 13th in the NHL in Shots For Per Game at 30.1.

- The Wings are tied for 3rd overall in the NHL in fewest Shots Allowed Per Game at 27.1

- The Wings are 10th in the NHL in the 5 on 5 Goals For/Goals Against ratio

- The Wings are 10-2-1 against Western Conference teams

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Uh-oh, Ryan Lambert of Puck Daddy is skeptical that the Wings will be able to "fix whatever has gone wrong the last month". You mean the Wings that have gone 11-3 since December 23rd?

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nhl-puck-daddy/what-we-learned--our-30-team-second-half-preview--who-wins-the-east-174602801.html

To be fair, I think he is clearly is referencing puck possession numbers rather than game results.

Edited by Mr. Bigglesworth

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To be fair, I think he is clearly is referencing puck possession numbers rather than game results.

I thought it was a silly comment that didn't tell me much. I don't see the anything in the Wings' possession numbers over the past month to alarm me. There are a couple cracks that may have developed over the more immediate past (i.e, 5 games), such as possession dip (still over 50%, still well above season lows), 4 goals allowed per game in each of the last 3, and a bunch of goals given up on the penalty kills. But 5 games is a really small sample size and the Wings won them all. Regardless, the Wings' quest for a RH defenseman isn't so that it will solve all their problems (what one trade has ever done that?), it is simply an attempt to make the team better. Plus, I can think of a bunch of ways a quality, puck-moving defenseman with a right-handed shot could help the Wings not only win games but help their possession stats at the same time.

If Lambert - who FWIW predicted before the season the Wings would miss the playoffs - thinks that is a misguided priority, fine, but tell us why e.g, with the Wings already having the league's 2nd best powerplay, is finding a righthanded defenseman still the Wings' most pressing need? And suggest what would be a smarter move - finding another depth centre who excels at faceoffs? signing Brodeur until Howard returns because given recent trends the Wings can expect their goalie to be bombarded with shots and Mrazek isn't cutting it? sending Pulkinnen down to be replaced by a more responsible player?

Edited by lordstanley

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Lambert has never been a Wings fan, he's been hoping they'd fall off for a while now. I love that he predicted the Wings would miss the playoffs though (I refuse to give his writing any traffic and I think I have him blocked on Twitter so I had no idea).

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Uh-oh, Ryan Lambert of Puck Daddy is skeptical that the Wings will be able to "fix whatever has gone wrong the last month". You mean the Wings that have gone 11-3 since December 23rd?

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nhl-puck-daddy/what-we-learned--our-30-team-second-half-preview--who-wins-the-east-174602801.html

Bwaaaahaaahaaa

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I thought it was a silly comment that didn't tell me much. I don't see the anything in the Wings' possession numbers over the past month to alarm me. There are a couple cracks that may have developed over the more immediate past (i.e, 5 games), such as possession dip (still over 50%, still well above season lows), 4 goals allowed per game in each of the last 3, and a bunch of goals given up on the penalty kills. But 5 games is a really small sample size and the Wings won them all. Regardless, the Wings' quest for a RH defenseman isn't so that it will solve all their problems (what one trade has ever done that?), it is simply an attempt to make the team better. Plus, I can think of a bunch of ways a quality, puck-moving defenseman with a right-handed shot could help the Wings not only win games but help their possession stats at the same time.

If Lambert - who FWIW predicted before the season the Wings would miss the playoffs - thinks that is a misguided priority, fine, but tell us why e.g, with the Wings already having the league's 2nd best powerplay, is finding a righthanded defenseman still the Wings' most pressing need? And suggest what would be a smarter move - finding another depth centre who excels at faceoffs? signing Brodeur until Howard returns because given recent trends the Wings can expect their goalie to be bombarded with shots and Mrazek isn't cutting it? sending Pulkinnen down to be replaced by a more responsible player?

I can't claim to know what his point was WRT to the Red Wings wanting to find a RH D.

I also don't doubt possession numbers are something that can't fluctuate in small samples of times for reasons other than true talent level or quality of play.

I just was pointing out why I think his statement wasn't necessarily incongruent with the fact they have an excellent record over the past month.

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Useful effort by a HFBoards poster, Persona5, who compiled the record of the league's top 12 teams against only the other teams in the top 12 as of today.

Tampa Bay 11-4-2 (24 points out of 34) Point %70.6

Chicago 13-6-1 (27 points out of 40) Point %67.5

NY Islanders 13-8-0 (26 points out of 42) Point %61.9

Detroit 7-4-3 (17 points out of 28) Point %60.7

San Jose 10-7-3 (23 points out of 40) Point %57.5

St Louis 11-8-2 (24 points out of 42) Point %57.1

Montreal 10-8-1 (21 points out of 38) Point %55.3

Pittsburgh 9-7-4 (22 points out of 40) Point %55.0

Anaheim 10-9-2 (22 points out of 42) Point %52.4

NY Rangers 10-9-2 (22 points out of 42) Point %52.4

Nashville 5-7-6 (16 out of 36 points) Point %44.4

Calgary 8-11-2 (18 points out of 42) Point %42.9

The good news is that the Wings are 4th of 12 teams in this "upper echelon round robin". Bad news is that the Wings have only played 14 games against these teams, which suggests they've had a relatively weak strength of scheudle.

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The Wings are at the 3/4 mark, with 61 of 82 games played. Still a solid top-10 NHL team in virtually all categories, cracking the top 5 in some. Have a couple of games in hand on most other hands and no team has more home games remaining than the Wings. A phenomenal 16-3-3 against the West including 10-0-2 against the tough Central. This team has shown they can beat anyone and hard not to now consider them a contender. Having said that, no likely 1st round matchup - Montreal, Tampa or Boston - would be easy. I think any series involving the Atlantic's top 4 teams is pretty much a toss-up. So, really, do the Wings have much to play for the final 21 games?

After 61 Games, As At March 1

-The Wings have 81 points, which is 13 points ahead of last year's Wings through 61 games. Last year's Wings teams didn't hit 81 points until Game 74 and finished with 93, only 12 points more than the Wings already have this year

- The Wings are 8th in the NHL overall in points, or 6th on a Points Per Game basis

-The Wings are on pace to earn 109 points. Last year, 109 points would have tied for 6th overall in the NHL behind Pittsburgh

- The Wings are 14 points above the playoff cut line and have a game in hand over that 9th place team, Florida

- The Wings are 8 points behind 1st overall Nashville with 2 games in hand and 6 points behind Montreal with 1 game in hand, so barring a collapse by either the President's Trophy and Atlantic Division title are probably out of reach

- The Wings are 3rd in points in the Atlantic division behind Montreal and Tampa, but at only 1 point behind the Bolts with 2 games in hand the Wings have the 2nd best record

- The Wings are tied for 6th in Regulation/Overtime Wins at 32

- The Wings are tied for 1st with Nashville with fewest regulation losses, at 15

- The Wings' goal differential of +21 is only 10th best in the NHL

- The Wings are 7th in the NHL in Goals For Per Game at 2.90, and tied for 7th in the NHL in Goals Allowed Per Game at 2.46

- The Wings have the NHL's #1 ranked Powerplay at 25.0% but Penalty Kill % has dropped to 9th

- The Wings are only 12th in the NHL in goals for/against ratio at 5 on 5 play, but the Wings' shot differential at 5 on 5 in close games (tied or 1-goal lead or 1-goal deficit) is #1 in the NHL

- The Wings play 12 of their final 21 games at home

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Well, the Wings have taken quite the hit over the past couple of weeks. Through 71 games of an 82-game season, now 10th overall, now on pace for only 103 points, 14th in the NHL in goal differential at +14, tied for 10th in RegulationOvertimeWins (ROWS) at 36, tied for 4th for fewest regulation losses with 21, Penalty Kill has plunged to 15th in the league (still league eading powerplay though), now 10 points behind Montreal so won't come 1st in the Atlantic, and now 8 points behind Tampa so won't have home ice advantage in the 1st round.

The Wings have 89 points with 11 games to go.

6th in the East in points, 5th in the East on a Points Per Game Basis (as 1 point behind Pittsburgh but with a game in hand)

Team Targets

Wings need to average a point per game in the final 11 to get to 100 points on the season.

Wings need to get 4 points to match last year's season total of 93 points.

Wings are in 10th overall in the NHL. Looks like they're going to finish between 7th and 14th overall.

I have 3 regular season goals the rest of the way:

- Wings make the playoffs as one of the Atlantic's top 3 teams

- Wings get 100 points or more

- Wings finish in top 10 overall..

Hit all 3 and I'd consider this regular season to be reasonably successful. Although disappointing compared to what it looked like they could achieve coming from the 6-game road trip: top 5 overall, challenge for the Atlantic division regular season title, get 105+ points for their best points total since 2009 (the latter objective is still possible - the Wings would need to go 8-3 the rest of the way).

Playoff Picture

5 points up on Boston with 2 games in hand.

6 points up on Ottawa, with same number of games played, so Ottawa is actually ahead of Boston on a points per game basis.

All of Ottawa,Boston and Washington - Wings 1 point up on the Caps and have 2 games in hand - would need to pass the Wings for the Wings to miss the playoffs.

Still, considering the Wings were 17 points up on the Sens on March 1st, it should not be anywhere as close as it is.

Wings magic number to make the playoffs is 14 points. Any combination of points earned by the Wings and dropped by the Bruins adding up to 14 clinches for the Wings.

Wings magic number to clinch 3rd in the Atlantic (automatic playoff berth rather than wild card, assures them of staying on the Atlantic side of the draw) is 17. Any combination of points earned by the Wings and dropped by the Senators adding up to 17 clinches for the Wings.

Why a lower magic number versus the Bruins than the Senators?

Because even though the Bruins are listed as 4th in the standings with 84 points to Ottawa's 83 points, the Bruins only have 9 games to play while the Sens and Wings have 11 each. So the Sens can max out at a higher number than the Bruins and really have the 4th best record in the Atlantic - I'd rather 83 points with 11 games to go like Ottawa than 84 points with 9 games to go like Boston.

As for playoff matchups, if the Wings finish Altantic as they most likely will, they'll play the 2nd place team in the Atlantic - currently Tampa, but the Lightning are only 2 points behind Montreal and hold the tiebreaker with both the Bolts and Habs having 9 games to play. So that could go either way. If the Wings finish 4th in the Atlantic, they'll be considered a wildcard so there's a chance they could end up playing the 1st place Metropolitan team (most likely NY Rangers) instead. I'd bet on the 1st round opponent being Tampa though, with Montreal a close second and any other possibility much more unlikely.

Individual Milestones

Zetterberg and Datsyuk are the Wings' leading scores with 59 and 58 respectively. So they'll probably end up in the 60s. Datsyuk has 58 points in 57 games so is over a point per game when healthy. As a comparison, Kronwall and Alfredsson led the Wings with 49 points last season. Zetterberg was hurt more last year but produced more when healthy - 48 points in 45 games last year.

Tatar leads the Wings in goals with 26 so could hit 30. The Wings haven't had a 30-goal scorer since they had 4 in 2009 (Hossa 40, Franzen 34, Datsyuk 32, Zetterberg 31).

Nyquist has slumped with only 2 goals in his last 20 so is stalled at 22 goals. He'll likely finish with fewer goals than the 28 goals he achieved in only 57 games last season.

Both Tatar (50 points currently) and Nyquist (48 points currently) will likely end up somewhere in the 50s in points, which is respectable but mildly disappointing given at one point it looked like one or both would reach 60.

Abdelkader with 20 goals has doubled last year's total of 10 goals. Abdelkader had never scored more than 10 goals in a season, although 10 goals in 48 games in the shortened 2013 season was respectable.

Howard's stats have suffered since his return - his GAA is now 2.34 and his save % is .915 - decent improvement over last year but only middle of the pack in the NHL.

Edited by lordstanley

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All NHL teams except Washington and Toronto have played 80 games and have 2 to go.

The Wings are tied for 11h in the NHL overall. They could still finish as high as a tie for 8th and as low as a tie for 17th.

The Wings are 6th in the East. They could finish as high as tied for 4th in the East or 9th in the East.

The Wings are 3rd in the Atlantic. That's as high as they can go but might drop as low as 5th.

Tatar needs 2 goals for 30 and Nyquist needs 3 goals for 30. I predict Nyquist will get his 30th into an empty net in Carolina on Saturday.

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