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2013 Detroit Lions "Stretch Run"

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9-7 probably takes the division. I'd like to finish in front of the NFCE winner though if possible. There's no easy game, but I'd rather play Carolina than SF.

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This next game against Philly is going to be interesting. Really hope we can find a way to get pressure on Foles.

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Remaining schedules:

Detroit - @Philly, Balt, NYG, @Minn

Chicago - Dal, @Clev, @Philly, GB

GB - Atl, @Dal, Pitt, @Chi

I hope the Lions can get the 3 seed in the NFC if Seattle is the 2 seed. If Seattle is the 1 seed, the Lions would be better off with the 4 seed as long as the 3 seed and the Lions win in the first round.

I don't want the Lions going to New Orleans if they make it to the second round.

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9-7 probably takes the division. I'd like to finish in front of the NFCE winner though if possible. There's no easy game, but I'd rather play Carolina than SF.

Yep, 9-7 could very well do it unless the Packers or Bears go on a miracle run. Minny really did us a big favor yesterday. I think a win against Philly this week will all but clinch it for the Lions IMO.

However, i prefer that they finished 4th to avoid San Fran if possible. I'd much rather take my chances with Carolina or New Orleans at home. The 49ers are a bad bad matchup for the Lions.

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I think they have a good chance of beating either Carolina or SF. With both having running QB's and being at home. If they can avoid a pocket passer they will be in good shape.

This game against Philly is a big test. They have a lot of talent, similar to the Lions in a strange sort of way. Foles is playing out of his mind right now and they can run the ball well. But their D will give up points. I gotta lean towards Philly on this one, simply because they are at home.

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Yah, I see a shootout. We should be able to put up big numbers on them, but they might do the same. If we bottle up Mccoy like we've been doing to the run and bracket Jackson, we might be in good shape. Guys like Ertz and Cooper have been doing damage lately too though.

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Win all the games.

I wouldn't be shocked if the opposite happened, and I'm usually an optimist.

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Remaining schedules:

Detroit - @Philly, Balt, NYG, @Minn

Chicago - Dal, @Clev, @Philly, GB

GB - Atl, @Dal, Pitt, @Chi

I hope the Lions can get the 3 seed in the NFC if Seattle is the 2 seed. If Seattle is the 1 seed, the Lions would be better off with the 4 seed as long as the 3 seed and the Lions win in the first round.

I don't want the Lions going to New Orleans if they make it to the second round.

I can see the Lions winning 2, the Bears 3, and who cares about GB.

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Best case scenario looks like the Lions will be seeded third. There are scenarios where they do end up with the third seed, but they would have to finish 11-5, and NO and Carolina would have to finish 10-6, which is highly unlikely.

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1 sea

2 no

3 det

4 dal

5 car

6 sf/az

I think that is the best case realistic scenario for the lions in the playoffs.

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With the Lions, all things are possible. From a 4-0 finish to 0-4.

I don't like our chances with Philly.

Baltimore at home should be better than even odds, and the NYG looked bad even in beating Washington last night.

Minnesota, well Matt Cassel may have a few games to get comfy, then all they need is a big game from AP and a big play from Cordarelle Patterson.

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The Lions might not lose again this season. I think they finally found that right mix of swagger and discipline. Foles has looked real comfortable in Philly, let's see how he reacts to some real pressure.

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With the Lions, all things are possible. From a 4-0 finish to 0-4.

I don't like our chances with Philly.

Baltimore at home should be better than even odds, and the NYG looked bad even in beating Washington last night.

Minnesota, well Matt Cassel may have a few games to get comfy, then all they need is a big game from AP and a big play from Cordarelle Patterson.

The Lions will win the division. Book it.

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The Lions might not lose again this season. I think they finally found that right mix of swagger and discipline. Foles has looked real comfortable in Philly, let's see how he reacts to some real pressure.

If they win the turn over battle (game by game) the rest of the way they will make it to the SB.

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Right now, Carolina and New Orleans are both 9-3 and play each other twice.

The best case for the Lions would be this finish in the NFC:

1. Seattle

2. Carolina

3. Detroit

4. Dallas

5. New Orleans

6. Arizona

Play Arizona at home in the first round. If they win that, they would have to go to Carolina in the second round.

Edited by nd1377

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I was able to create at least one scenario where the lions are the two seed. I believe it required the lions to win out, Carolina and New Orleans to split their two games, and then lose their two other games.

I'm just going to assume that all of that will happen.

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The division picture:

Interestingly, even the Vikings have not been mathematically eliminated from the division. A 0-4 from the Lions and a 4-0 from the Vikings put them a .5 game ahead of the Lions I think. I don't know for sure how the ties are counting, but I'd say that a 7-8-1 record beats a 7-9-0 record. Of course realistically I doubt the Vikings go 4-0. I strongly anticipate they lose at least one against the Eagles, Bengals, or Lions.

The Packers worry me a little bit. If Rogers comes back next Sunday I can see the team rallying around him. They do have to play at Dallas on the 15th, and then at Chicago at the end of the season so those could have hard games to win. I could easily see them going 3-1 for these last four games if Rogers comes back. That'd put them at 8-7-1. The Lions, at 7-5 right now, would need to win just 2 games to eliminate the Packers.

The Bears sit just a game behind the Lions but of course the Lions, having beat the Bears twice, hold the tie breaker. I think it's possible that the Bears also go 3-1 these last four games. Not sure that it's likely, but possible. This would put them at 9-7.

Now the Lions of course hold the tie breaker over the Bears, so a 9-7 end record for the Lions wins them the division unless the Bears or Packers win out the rest of the season. The remaining Lions Schedule:

@Philly: Tough game, I'm going to say a loss.

Baltimore: The Ravens are 6-6... we should win this one, but if we turn the ball over a lot, we could easily lose it. I'll say win.

NYGiants: A 5-7 team right now... again, we should win it, but Eli does worry me. I'll be pessimistic here: loss.

@Minny: If we go into this game needing a win to get the division, then I really worry about it. I worry that the Lions will be play tight and nervous... I worry that the Vikings will have nothing to lose and will play with a fire to try and knock us out of the division title shot. I really hope that the Lions come into this game not needing a win to secure the division. Either way I'll say this is a win.

So the Lions finish 9-7. This should be a enough for a Division win.

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Ties are counted as half a win and half a loss. So 7-8-1 is better than 7-9 but worse than 8-8. I believe 7-7-2 record is considered worse than 8-8 record in the unlikely chance of a 2-tie team.

Vikings going 4-0 while the Lions go 0-4 and the Packers and Bears not getting to a matching or better record while playing a game against each other is unlikely enough that the Vikings are practically eliminated. I'd add it isn't surprising to me they aren't mathmatically eliminated with a quarter of the season remaining. Relatively few teams are mathmatically eliminated with a quarter of the season left in the major sports in America.

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Ties are counted as half a win and half a loss. So 7-8-1 is better than 7-9 but worse than 8-8. I believe 7-7-2 record is considered worse than 8-8 record in the unlikely chance of a 2-tie team.

Vikings going 4-0 while the Lions go 0-4 and the Packers and Bears not getting to a matching or better record while playing a game against each other is unlikely enough that the Vikings are practically eliminated. I'd add it isn't surprising to me they aren't mathmatically eliminated with a quarter of the season remaining. Relatively few teams are mathmatically eliminated with a quarter of the season left in the major sports in America.

I believe they go by percentage, so I think 7-7-2 would tie 8-8, and it would go to tie breakers.

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