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2013 Pistons Offseason

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Watch Cousins and Pekovic. If either one signs before Monroe that should give us a good idea on what Monroe will get.

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I really think Joe is trying to build what he buit in 2003-4 and he seems to honestly be doing a good job of it on paper. Instead of having a single superstar or even a big 3, he's trying to put out a top 15 player at every position starting 5. What I'm sure he's hoping to see is 4 guys getting 10-15 shots a game, with Drummond being a more effective mop up guy then Ben. If Jennings comes in and shoots 15 times a game I don't think anyone's gonna be happy. The intention has to be Jennings taking 10-12, Greg taking 11-13, Smith taking 13-15 and Drummond taking 8-10 (6 last year in 20 mpg).

My contention on Moose last year is going to be proven or disproven this year. When he's no longer the only player worth guarding you're gonna see a more efficient player putting up similar or better numbers offensively...and hopefully better qualified to guard against PF's as the article I posted a few times last year seemed to indicate was the case. His USG% will go down, his TS% will go up, his assists will go up (and seriously if he gets 4 apg is my prediction of 5 really that outlandish? I mean the 23 ppg clearly isn't going to happen but I think if he gets 4 assists that's pretty impressive...I still think he has a chance at 12 rpg). Quite frankly, if this even happens a little bit, we're either going to give him a max contract or he's going to be playing somewhere else in 2014-15 which might be just fine particularly if it's in a sign and trade. At 23 years old and just entering his prime, there will be more then a few teams willing to invest in him.

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I know they were probably better off letting Calderon go. But man are they going to miss his shooting. 2 shot charts of his from last year:

aRZVkF4.png

grant_jose_calderon.jpg

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I find it off that his worst shooting stats come from the corner 3, that is usually the one people find the easiest.

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Calderon's shooting will definitely be missed.

Calderon's defense will not be missed. Jennings isn't a great defender, but Calderon is worse. Jennings was a 2.2 in Defensive Win Shares last year while Calederon was a .4. That's scary bad.

Also, Calderon is a great passer but not a great creator. I think the Pistons are hoping Jennings can be a great creator due to his speed and handles. He just has to press the pass button on the controller instead of the shoot button every time :)

Obviously, we're all hoping for growth in Jennings game. But, he's 8 years younger with a lot of potential and we got him for under 1 Mil more per season than Calderon signed for. Looking at those two deals and players, I think we made the better move.

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Yah, I would not have hated bringing Calderon back by any means. He's a fantastic fit with this frontcourt. Oh well

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I would be content with his assists staying where they are and dropping his TO's to around 2 per game.

no argument here...

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Once again, A defensive big has the ability to shut down an area of the floor for all 5 opposing players at the same time. Not just any area of the floor either. The area where the most points in the league are scored, where the highest FG% is shot, etc.

Just look at this chart. 40% of all shots in the league that year were taken in the paint. The paint was the only area on the floor where players shot over 40% from the field. Oh, and they topped that by 15%. Not only do the most shots occur in the paint, but players also averaged the most points per shot attempt from the paint. That is why big men win DPOY.

Like I said, James is a fantastic defender. But defense in the NBA starts in the middle. Always has, always will.

HIDPZaK.jpg

LeBron James could be Ben Wallace and stand in the paint and block shots from the weakside. But he has the ability to do so much more than Wallace ever could so he doesn't have to do that.

Once again, I'll take the defensive player with the ability to shut down the pick and roll, the perimeter game, and the paint; the guy with the ability to guard every position on the floor over the tall guy who can block shots.

James is sui generis. And part of that is he can dominate a game on the defensive end without sitting in the paint all day.

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LeBron James could be Ben Wallace and stand in the paint and block shots from the weakside. But he has the ability to do so much more than Wallace ever could so he doesn't have to do that.

Once again, I'll take the defensive player with the ability to shut down the pick and roll, the perimeter game, and the paint; the guy with the ability to guard every position on the floor over the tall guy who can block shots.

James is sui generis. And part of that is he can dominate a game on the defensive end without sitting in the paint all day.

James could guard the place where the majority of the points are scored. But he doesn't because he can do so much more? What?

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LeBron James could be Ben Wallace and stand in the paint and block shots from the weakside. But he has the ability to do so much more than Wallace ever could so he doesn't have to do that.

Once again, I'll take the defensive player with the ability to shut down the pick and roll, the perimeter game, and the paint; the guy with the ability to guard every position on the floor over the tall guy who can block shots.

James is sui generis. And part of that is he can dominate a game on the defensive end without sitting in the paint all day.

I agree on James who is a special defensive player, but disagree with the overall stance you took on big man defense. Nobody wins DPOY because of blocked shots. Elite defensive bigs do most of the things that you credit Lebron for above(other than shuttind down the perimeter) and also are generally able to cover more ground as well as be the last line of defense. Like Del said, they protect the area where the most points are scored at the highest FG%.

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Sanders came on fairly strong the last half of the year. Anyone shocked he isn't waiting on the extension to see if he can have a good year and increase his value more?

He ups his scoring to 12-14 PPG and/or is in the running for DPOY or wins it and he gets a few more million a year, I would think.

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I agree on James who is a special defensive player, but disagree with the overall stance you took on big man defense. Nobody wins DPOY because of blocked shots. Elite defensive bigs do most of the things that you credit Lebron for above(other than shuttind down the perimeter) and also are generally able to cover more ground as well as be the last line of defense. Like Del said, they protect the area where the most points are scored at the highest FG%.

Agreed. And I also thing that Buddha is maybe forgetting just how good some of those elite big men are at stepping out and guarding on the switch in addition to locking down the paint. Ben in particular was quite good at it due to his quickness, motor, and active hands.

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And one more good article...

Pistons Brandon Jennings vows to change game, create Detroit Lob City - CBSSports.com

The relevant part is right here:

Just for comparison's sake, I decided to use 82games.com's shot clock usage charts to compare Brandon Jennings with 2009 Draft classmate Stephon Curry over their respective four years.

On average, Jennings took 42.5 percent of his shots in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock while Curry took 44.5 percent of his shots on these "quick" possessions. 26.25 percent of Jennings' shots came in the next five seconds of the clock or 11 to 15 seconds into the shot clock. That number is considerably larger for Curry at 30.5 percent. In seconds 16-20 into the shot clock, Jennings saw 18.25 percent of his attempts; Curry took 17.75 percent of his shots then.

At the end of the shot clock, Jennings saw a much bigger percentage of his shots than Curry did and this is probably what he's talking about in his comments. Jennings took 13 percent of his shots over his four years in the last four seconds of the shot clock. It's just 6.75 percent for Curry. That means nearly 600 of Jennings' shots over his career comes at the end of the shot clock when a lot of guys have to rush attempts and bail out their teammates.

Those numbers do lend some weight to Jennings claim that he won't have to take as many bad shots with the talent level in Detroit. I guess time will tell.

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And one more good article...

Pistons Brandon Jennings vows to change game, create Detroit Lob City - CBSSports.com

The relevant part is right here:

Those numbers do lend some weight to Jennings claim that he won't have to take as many bad shots with the talent level in Detroit. I guess time will tell.

That is one terrible article.

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Here is a stat that should scare some people.

Brandon Jennings on/off court NetRtg differential last year was -11.2.

2013 Free Agents: The Numbers « Hang Time Blog | NBA.com

The Bobcats were pretty awful whether or not Henderson was on the floor. The Bucks were pretty good (+6.9 points per 100 possessions) with Jennings on the bench and pretty bad (-4.4) with him in the game. His on-off-court differential of 11.2 points per 100 possessions was the worst among free agents who played at least 1,000 minutes with a single team last season.

Worst on-off-court NetRtg differential among free agents

[TABLE=width: 360]

[TR=bgcolor: #eeeeee]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Player[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]Min. On[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]NetRtg On[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]NetRtg Off[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]Diff.[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Brandon Jennings[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]2,896[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-4.4[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+6.9[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-11.2[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: #E5E5E5]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]D.J. Augustin[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,226[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-1.1[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+7.8[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.9[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Byron Mullens[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,428[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-16.2[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-7.4[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.8[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: #E5E5E5]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Tyler Hansbrough[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,366[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-0.6[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+8.0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.6[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Al Jefferson[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]2,578[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-3.5[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+4.3[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-7.8

[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

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Q&A: Joe Dumars on the Suddenly Exciting Pistons and the Toughest Player He Guarded (Not Named MJ) - The Triangle Blog - Grantland

This is a really good interview with Joe where he answers some questions about Jennings, Smith, Monroe, the rotation, and other decisions. It's definitely worth a read.

Happy to hear this
And I don't know how many minutes we’ll have that front line [Drummond, Smith, Monroe] on the floor together, once you get past the first six minutes for the first quarter. It's not like it’s going to be 40 minutes a night with that front line. Monroe will slide to
, Josh will slide to [power forward]. It’s not a concern of ours.

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Here is a stat that should scare some people.

Brandon Jennings on/off court NetRtg differential last year was -11.2.

2013 Free Agents: The Numbers « Hang Time Blog | NBA.com

What was his netrtg the previous 3 years?

Worst on-off-court NetRtg differential among free agents

[TABLE=width: 360]

[TR=bgcolor: #eeeeee]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Player[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]Min. On[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]NetRtg On[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]NetRtg Off[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]Diff.[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Brandon Jennings[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]2,896[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-4.4[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+6.9[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-11.2[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: #E5E5E5]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]D.J. Augustin[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,226[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-1.1[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+7.8[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.9[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Byron Mullens[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,428[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-16.2[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-7.4[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.8[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: #E5E5E5]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Tyler Hansbrough[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]1,366[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-0.6[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+8.0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-8.6[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=bgcolor: transparent]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent]Al Jefferson[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]2,578[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-3.5[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]+4.3[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: transparent, align: right]-7.8

[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

What was his netrtg the previous 3 years?

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Sanders came on fairly strong the last half of the year. Anyone shocked he isn't waiting on the extension to see if he can have a good year and increase his value more?

He ups his scoring to 12-14 PPG and/or is in the running for DPOY or wins it and he gets a few more million a year, I would think.

Yes. Sounds like he's taking Deandre Jordan money when he could get max money.

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