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Microline133

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Microline133 last won the day on February 12 2018

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About Microline133

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    MotownSports Fan
  • Birthday 02/23/1980

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    Maynard, Massachusetts

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  • Interests
    Baseball, Scouting, Golf, Reading, Family.

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  • Occupation
    Staff Writer/Scout, Baseball Prospectus

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  1. The draft has little to do with the MLBPA....those new draft picks are not members and the MLBPA has consistently sold the rights of amateurs and minor Leaguers out in favor of benefits to their members.
  2. It's not about factoring in their projected floor. It's about factoring in the relative risk that they don't reach their projected ceiling. That has to be a part of the caluclus at 1-1.
  3. I've heard no legitimate concerns from scouts about Martin's arm strength and I had no concerns when I saw him last season. For me, barring some unanticipated collapse by Martin, he's easily the guy for me at 1-1. For as "safe" as everyone considers Torkelson, there's a ton of pressure on a right-right, first base only (and yes, it is first base only!) profile....that bat has to reach max potential, leaving so little margin for error. Give me Martin.
  4. In my the last five games I've scouted Stewart live, I haven't seen him touch a fastball above the belt at 94 or above. I should amend that, he fouled one off....one! I'd have to go back and check my notes to be positive, but my recollection is that totals 12-13 pitches in that sample, certainly not overwhelming, but its absolutely notable from a scouting perspective. In addition, though this is admittedly anecdotal, if the 94+ fastball above the belt is a legitimate issue for him, the only way to really correct for it is to start the swing earlier, which leads to earlier decisions and/or guessing, which results in increased struggles with breaking pitches, as suggested by the data presented above.
  5. That was a result of the Diamondbacks voiding his original contract due to an injury issue. Once he was voided and re-signed, that immediately made him eligible for every Rule 5 draft that he wasn't on the 40-man roster. It's a quirk in the eligibility rule.
  6. That's a reasonable concern. I think that bias toward conformance or certain traits existed on a team-by-team basis before this wave of performance analysis or development started, though. Now, instead of saying a guy is soft, or has a good face, or his teammates like him, they're using a little more robust means to gather personal and psychological information about players to better predict where they might go if pushed in certain directions. They're essentially trying to add more predictability to the inherently unpredictable process of player development.
  7. Yes, there has been progress, Lee. Some teams are actually taking a page out some of the old (and still valid) corporate playbooks with personality assessments, performance enhancement (think mental health focused) coaches, and leadership development programs and opportunities. Investments in these areas are becoming more commonplace across the industry and teams are learning how to use the information gleaned to enhance player development -- both with individuals and with organizational philosophy toward player development. I'd see it as a side affect of the more corporate look (Ivy League educated, business focused) of front offices. When they first started coming in the idea was you had to be able to quantify the information for it to be valuable -- largely because so much of baseball performance can be quantified, so there was this stigma attached to things like "makeup." Now you're seeing teams embrace the idea of makeup, culture, and personal development just as successful corporations do to develop their people at all levels of the organization.
  8. You mean evaluating a kid's "makeup" is relevant to projecting him and developing him as a player? But I was told for years that makeup was stupid and you couldn't quantify it!
  9. You might here some of that talk, but I wouldn't characterize it as anything substantive. There's a slim -- very slim -- chance he can capably play an outfield corner, but in reality he's a first baseman through and through.
  10. Understood. I'm sensitive to the issue simply because I think it's a growing issue in the prospect writing world....it's all too common to see attacks on other writer's process, access, validity, etc....not from readers, but specifically from others in the writing community. Some of it is simply as a means to try and "make a name for yourself by calling someone else out publicly" while other times it's just passive aggressive sub-tweeeting. I find it unneccesary and obnoxious most of the time, particularly as it becomes more prevalent. As a result, I'm not going to sit here and offer those kind of opinions in a public forum.
  11. To be completely honest, I never clicked the link...I have no clue what podcast that was on, who the hosts or guests were, or anything about their credentials. My expertise isn't in passing judgement about the qualifications or connectedness of other writers, so I'm not going to offer that. I will offer my expertise on the player side, as that's where I'm tied in.
  12. Staying away from the question about the individuals who talked about this on that podcast, but I'll offer the following regarding the veracity of the claims on Paredes: The notion that he's older than his listed age has existed within the MLB scouting community since shortly after he signed out of Mexico, if not before. People I trust and know are plugged into the Mexican baseball scene (scouts, coaches, etc.) insist he's older than listed.
  13. Pro move by @Yoda here....thanks for sending folks to the big release info!
  14. I'm just not a Packard fan. Based on my look last summer and while he was at ECU, I don't think the bat plays at the highest levels. It's been fringy bat speed in my looks, the contact on secondary stuff isn't consistently hard even when he identifies it, and I think he's more of a fringe MLB hitter....think Ryan Strieby.
  15. Correct. On Willi Castro, it's not a sexy profile, but there's a pretty clear path to a second division player without much risk in the profile. His ranking that high is also a pretty glaring knock on the depth of the organization. Once you get past the first few you quickly get into picking either low ceiling/low risk players or boom/bust types.
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