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Gehringer_2 last won the day on November 13

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About Gehringer_2

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    MotownSports Fan
  • Birthday 06/01/1954


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    People's Republic of Treeville

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  1. Gehringer_2

    2018 Midterm Elections

    Another thing in these numbers is the that Trumps support, while no longer broad enough to re-elect him, is deep. GOP turnout was also way up for this midterm. Certainly more Trump voters came out for the GOP in this midterm than Dem voters came out for Obama in 2010 or 2014. Part of this is that the older segment of GOP voters more more all the time, but without looking back at the numbers again I don't think that effect explains the size of the GOP House turnout this cycle.
  2. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    I would say there are enough people who sense they don't like it but still aren't seeing it clearly for what it is.
  3. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    Actually, Trumps brilliance is do things right in the open. In the US we're fully conditioned to political crime and malfeasance having to be carefully and painfully investigated and cases built up witness by witness by official investigators. That the perp would stand on the podium and convict himself out of his own mouth is so disorienting to our normal understanding of the process that the country is simply refusing to process it.
  4. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    I'll give you incivility, but why would you call an act which so far appears will have exactly the outcome they want irrational? Given Trumps apologetics for them, they will have removed a major domestic irritant, very effectively increased the stakes for anyone who would dare to follow in his footsteps, and done so at little practical cost.
  5. Gehringer_2

    Game 14: Cavs @ Pistons

    I'm not so much a fan of Blaha on TV, but I really liked him when did radio just because I haven't heard anyone set the scene on a court any better. It took a while to learn all his short hands, but I thought he was top notch for basketball radio PBP despite all his weird mannerisms.
  6. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    It's largely a false premise anyway. We have no existential conflict with Iran that justifies our being in bed with SA. In fact most of our conflict with Iran comes only because we have tied ourselves so close to the Sunni Sheikhs and Princes (like SA) for whom popular overthrow a la the Shah, is their greatest fear and for whom opposition to Shia Iran is a cultural given. We make a lot of noise about Iranians being 'terrorists' but in the overwhelming main, the radical Islam that has roiled the world over the last generation is an organic *Sunni* movement. The Iranians have had no part in it that movement. They deserve condemnation for their support of Assad, but they view that through the lens of their opposition to Sunni radicalism more than Assad's butchery.
  7. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    Get your America on sale here! Now!
  8. Gehringer_2

    Game 10 Carolina Panters @ Detroit Lions. It's Cat-Tastic!

    Yeah. Newton's completion rate is something like 68% - it had been a relatively low scoring game and the Lions in OT have huge advantage with Prater so I don't think the decision is hard to justify - the possibility that the Lions drive the field in the remaining minute doesn't factor since that could happen either way. It's a given that if Carolina can't stop the lions after the any PAT they lose. That said, I think Carolina had better momentum at that point (2 4th Q TDs) and if it were my decision on their side I may have taken the shot at OT even given Det's kicking advantage.
  9. Gehringer_2

    2018 Midterm Elections

    https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/ 2018 stats are not there yet but near the end of this report for each past election there is a recap page for the House that give national vote totals. Cook report has this tracker up for this year https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview?sle=true#gid=0 2018 is nearly 59 million D for the House vs 50.2 for the GOP. Mid-terms usually in the 35-40 million range per party...
  10. Gehringer_2

    Fist City: population...Rod and Mario

    The Interwebs!
  11. Gehringer_2

    Potential Democratic Candidates for 2020

    Yeah - all we need is for the Dems to make the same mistake as the GOPs and run someone who has no idea what they are doing.
  12. Gehringer_2

    Fist City: population...Rod and Mario

    I would imagine it's more a matter of changing the rules after the fact. That never goes down well. Just as a hypothetical, say one of the NESN guys is like Lewin - who has a winter gig (UCLA roundball) in place, now all of the sudden he's back on call back to NESN to cover some combination of events of NESN's choosing up to a total of 7 days? Things like that, or even just something that theoretically increases the possibility of something like that, could easily generate a lot of bad feeling.
  13. No, and since it takes 18 months or more for changes in government policy to have much traction the fiscal window is already closing on Trump. If anything the effects of the things he has put in motion to far - trade friction and XS debt driving up interest rates - will still be negative drivers through the rest of his term.
  14. Gehringer_2

    Fist City: population...Rod and Mario

    Do you suppose they asked that in Boston when Det let Ernie go.
  15. Gehringer_2

    The Presidency of Donald J. Trump

    Well I think based on those numbers vs the state populations, Virginia or NC has to be have the highest percentage of DOD residents (which is what I was going for more than state of origin). But on second thought, I have no idea what percentage of military personnel vote locally. That is what I was thinking about initially but even as I think about my own military acquaintances, more of them maintained their point of origin voter registration through their entire service anyway - so forget that aspect. However, I'll still go with my original thesis to the extent that even if they don't vote there, the presence of all those military personnel in VA should still have an effect on the population that does vote locally, and it does not appear to be helping the GOP there.