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Mr. Bigglesworth

MotownSports Fan
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Everything posted by Mr. Bigglesworth

  1. You are right, though I count about 10 more without TX. All in on Texas.
  2. He gets his *** kicked at 410. You don't think winning 410-128 is an *** kicking?
  3. Lions have a better chance of being good.
  4. Taking 410 EC votes vs. 450 will change nothing in terms of politics in America 2021-24, nor will you personally care 2 weeks after the election in the hypothetical whether he got Texas or not. Trump won't even care, and he's the ***hole who lost in the scenario. Yes, I want Texas and there are good reasons to invest in Texas. But Texas is not a priority relative to something like 10 other states by any reasonable or objective calculus. Secure those 10 states first as best as possible and then worry about Texas. You don't (or oughtn't at least) manage campaigns based on emotional wants, wishes or gut feels. And all of this ignores Texas is very unlikely to flip independent of investment and if it does flip, it probably is owing a **** of a lot more to systemic polling error than some 6 week media blitz.
  5. That is big of you to offer up his money.
  6. I would imagine they are aware of his contributions and have planned around them accordingly.
  7. Anything spent over planned budget in Texas that would significantly reduce your planned spending in PA/OH/FL/MI/MN/WI/AZ/NV is too much. But I don't know their budget and what they have planned. Maybe they are Daddy Warbucks and can attempt to buy everything. I don't know, though I suspect there are limits to their war chest. If you have excess funds after the more important targets have been adequately addressed and want to put it towards Texas, fine. But Texas has to be the 8th or 10th priority overall or something. Budgeting 101. You work at a bank. I suspect you know this.
  8. Nobody is, or would/should, argue that. Frankly you do that in all states.
  9. So what the **** are we talking about? Complete waste of time.
  10. I never said or suggested they should put no money or time into Texas. I said it isn't a priority, and also said it is much less a priority than PA/OH. You've created a strawman.
  11. Stop making arguments nobody made. It is beneath you.
  12. You are right, MB. They should chase everything because Texas is historically close but not *that* close 6 weeks away. And I already said it makes sense to divert resources there to help down ballot, so???
  13. Sure, do a voter registration drive. Nobody was or will argue that.
  14. The point isn't you don't pitch in TX, but there is a finite amount of time and resources and personal appearances that the campaign can apply overall. You focus the lion's share those efforts on those states that secure the win, not to get the icing on the cake. Texas should be largely an afterthought. Alternately, if Biden loses, it isn't because he barely lost Texas. If Biden wins, he probably does not take Texas.
  15. How do you get under 5%? You said it yourself, demographic trends.
  16. An election where you aren't 5 points down on average and OH/PA you are up 1 to 5. Take OH and PA and you've won. It really is as simple as that. Trump needs all 3 (TX/OH/PA). Focus your energies on the two you have the best shot winning. Especially when those states correlate really well with other key Midwest states. Your messaging to the midwest can be consistent. To the extent you do appearances, OH and PA are right next to each other. ****, pitch to the Appalachian voter in both. Try to grab 5-10% of those guys Hillary couldn't reach.
  17. This simply isn't the election to try for it.
  18. You put time and money into Texas to force his hand and try to help down ballot - that I can understand. But I can't imagine any semi-competent campaign manager actually would strategize around actively burning resources that could be better used in OH and PA. Seriously, take those two and I think Trump is kneecapped, because that means you are almost certainly getting MI/WI/MN along with it. You could lose all other close races (NH/NV/CO/FL/NC/NE2/ME2) and would still win with the midwest minus Indiana and Iowa. OH/PA are just as many electoral college votes as Texas. It's too obvious not to do.
  19. You don't invest significant time or resources in Texas because: a) It is not flipping in 2020, and b) even if it did somehow flip, it will be the difference between 400 and 450 in the EC total. In other words, Texas represents style points, and unattainable ones at that.
  20. It would also be nice if Miguel could match his HR total from 2019.
  21. I want Miguel to end the season with a higher OPS than Castellanos, though highly unlikely.
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