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Posts posted by rhino

  1. It's a short term trade. I'm looking to be out before the long weekend next Friday. I'm up a few points now, if I'm lucky a few more points between now and Friday and I'll close it out. I see support around 2430. I'm thinking we should get some profit taking from some longs next week locking in profits before the long weekend. It may soften the market just enough to hit my target.

  2. 1 hour ago, Gehringer_2 said:

    To me, the problem is status. As long as they are illegal, they will be underpaid and that will depress US wages. I don't mind the immigrants, but they shouldn't be here as a resource of sub wage labor. I'm fine with letting people in, but let them in legally so they are not exploited.

    It works both ways. Let them in legally so they don't exploit our system living on full take home cash wages and avoiding taxes.

  3. I just finished the Coughlin series of books by Dennis Lehane.

    3 books

    A Given Day

    LIve by Night (Ben Affleck made this one into a movie)

    A World Gone By


    The series follows the Coughlin Family of Boston led by their patriarch Tomas Coughlin an Irish Immigrant who came over sometime in the 1890's. This was the time of the huge influx of Irish immigrants into the country. Tomas becomes a cop and quickly rises up the ranks. As he rises up the ladder he becomes more skilled at the political game of the police force and more and more wealthy through bribes and payoffs from the local mob.

    The book uses some actual historical events to weave into the story. The immigration of Irish and Italians. How poorly the Italians were treated, just a notch above blacks. The corruption in the Boston Police department, the abysmal way the regular cops were treated, seriously bordering on inhumane. The threat of Socialism in the country at the time as workers struggled to be treated fairly across the country and in particular the struggles the oldest Coughlin son Danny as he becomes an advocate for the unionization of the Boston Police leading up to the policeman's strike and subsequent riot in 1919. The author Lehane uses real life players of Boston politics at that time in his book that give the air of historical fiction.

    The second book Live by Night begins in earnest the story of the youngest Coughlin son, Joe from his beginnings as a street hoodlum robbing newstands as a teen, progressing to forming a small time robbery gang that targets illegal poker games then moving on to banks. About this time prohibition becomes law and we follow Joe from small time outlaw to full fledged gangster as he takes over the Tampa, FL rum trade and expands it to a mini-empire becoming one of the most powerful men in Florida.

    The 3rd book follows the end of Joe's career as Prohibition is repealed and he transitions into legitimate ( or semi-legit) bushiness of trucking and manufacturing and importing Rum from Cuba. He also has his hands in drugs and prostitution. Also gambling, which at that time was legal in Cuba.

    These are easy reading summertime books, full of intersecting and colorful characters. Perfect vacation books. I would say they are in the style of Elmore Leonard but the characters are more fleshed out than in a Dutch Leonard book, which to me makes the characters more interesting. Lot's of gangster action and intrigue, with appearances by Lucky Luciano and Meyer Lansky weaved in and of course a few dames along the way.

  4. 29 minutes ago, Shelton said:

    Also, Avila worked under dombrowski, who had clear orders from Ilitch to win "now." We don't know whether or not Avila (or dombrowski) would have made those moves if Ilitch was more hands off. 

    Its very hard for me to blame Avila for the state of the farm system. He's done nothing to weaken it since he took over, except in the trade for Justin Wilson, but that seems to be working out. 

    His failures have come from the free agent contracts he gave out. Lowe was a disaster. But pelfrey wasn't all that bad in hindsight given how he is pitching decently enough for Chicago. Zimmermann can still work out, and I sort of expect him to pitch well going forward. 

    That spending spree was Ilitch driven, too. 

    Anyway, I don't think the weak farm system is Avila's fault. The only thing he could have done is tell DD not to trade Travis and Suarez and adames and Thompson and knebel and Perez. For all we know he did. 

    To the bold, Pelfry has pitched better for Chicago then he did for us, but because he got better after we cut him does not give points for the signing to Avila. In fact it raises the question, why or what is it about Detroit that didn't allow him to pitch better for us? Was he about to turn the corner and our coaching staff missed it? Did Avila misplay the whole deal by hanging onto Sanchez instead of getting him to AAA sooner and keeping Pelfry not leaving us short of starters? By giving Boyd extended rope then sending him to the minors anyhow?

    The whole Pelry signing that had other GM's scratching their head at the contract onset all the way through to Pelfry performing better for Chicago reflects bad on Avila and our staff.

  5. 8 hours ago, Sydney_Fife said:


    Momentum is a real thing. 

    Well, right now our momentum is going the wrong way and if a perfect game into the 6th wasn't enough to break the trend I'm not sure what it will take. The Padres might hand us a game or two so at least we have that going for us.

  6. 8 hours ago, AlaskanTigersFan said:

    Sell them all... now.

    Alex Avila and JD could bring a blue chipper and an A-/B+ player each.

    Kinsler could bring us a blue chip prospect.

    Miggy could bring 2 blue chip prospects but I'd settle for 1 and 2-3 B+/B prospects.

    Alex and Justin Wilson could get us a B+ prospect each.

    Iglesiad could get us a B+ prospect.


    Its time. Each day he thinks this team can get in the playoffs he's even more dilusional. He shoulda had this fire sale LAST YEAR. It is like having Matt Millen but the Tigers version of him. V-mart woulda been nice to off load this off-season but we waited to long on him. Same for K-rod. That alone screwed us out of 2-3 decent prospects. 


    I think what this means is, sell early, sell often.

    • Like 2

  7. While it's true this season is all but out of reach, firing Ausmus won't solve anything. Replacing him with Geno, Legendary Lloyd or Vizquel mid-season won't improve the teams performance and put them on a tear to take over the division.  It won't suddenly light a fire under the team when motivation isn't their problem. They are old, injury prone, lack talent in some areas as well as depth when said injuries pop up. A new manager won't change that. Let Brad play out the string. See who is available in the off season and go from there. The mistake with Brad was made when he was hired. Firing him now when he only has a few months left on his contract won't repair that mistake and IMO would make it look like AA was trying to deflect his share of the responsibility and blame onto Brad.

    To fix what ails this team, Avila needs to start moving some guys and the sooner the better before the market gets crowded with similar talent.

    Sell early, sell often

    • Like 2

  8. 12 minutes ago, Casimir said:

    56 is pretty advanced age for a manager now, isn't it?  Hasn't it been pretty much a youth movement lately?

    You know, you're probably right, but when I hit 50, suddenly 56 doesn't sound so old anymore!

    • Like 1

  9. 18 minutes ago, IdahoBert said:

    I miss loving this team the way I used to. 

    That's an interesting comment.

    I feel somewhat that this is not a likable team. Looking back at the Pujols/Scrap Iron/Tram years, even though the team underperformed I feel they were more likable.

    I'm not sure if it's a matter of expecting more form this team and feeling frustrated because they are under performing versus knowing those early teams were going to be bad and expecting very little from them. Or is it that we've been good for a relatively long stretch and I'm spoiled that anything less than good and I'm not happy?


    • Like 1

  10. 2 hours ago, John_Brian_K said:

    I am in the 'managers are all pretty much the same camp', but I think the good ones instinctively know when something is wrong and address it before it tumbles out of control.  I think the older guys are typically better at it.  I think some of the new school guys just kind of roll with it and say 'that's baseball' and let it go too long.  I have no idea if that is what is happening to this team.  I did not watch the game last night, but I think most people would look at our line up and predict the team as a whole to be better than what they are playing.

    Shake it up, dump Brad now, bring in a crusty old skip and hope to catch lighting in a bottle.  Either way is not going to matter all that much unless that lighting in a bottle is bright.

    They need to go 49-43 the rest of the way to be .500, can they do that?  I think so.  I think they can be better than that.

    35 games left before the trading deadline.  7 against the Indians in that span.  10 Against KC.

    The KC series the 27th will be interesting.  Win at least one of those, even though it losses the series and then win the series against Cleveland right after that and depending on what those teams have done before that we will have a serious decision to make the 31st.

    Who do you have in mind?

    I was impressed with the manager of the Puerto Rico team in the WBC, Edwin Rodriguez, although he doesn't fit the crusty old manager mold.  He's 56.

  11. I read a book about Big Ed:


    It was pretty good because not only did it give info on Big Ed but it was about that whole 1880 - 1910 (or so) period of baseball and the development of the leagues and the balance of power being completely with the owners and how Ed bucked against that.

    I lost it somewhere when we moved. It will probably turn up in a box someday, I hope.

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