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UC Riverside Tiger

MotownSports Fan
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About UC Riverside Tiger

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    MotownSports Fan
  • Birthday 01/10/1983

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  • Location
    Riverside

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  • Occupation
    Student
  1. From my first post on this thread: When he proves he can do that, then we can begin to anoint him the next Verlander. A duh, no me never hear Verlander. Who he? He wasn't overrated by me. His stuff, poise, command, and confidence were obvious from the beginning. For me, Miller is a long way from Verlander and I will be surprised if he ever comes anywhere close. I stand corrected on his slider. Some of you have seen it, I haven't. I had heard from college coaches that it was pretty much an average college pitch.
  2. This isn't the only place where I've seen similar evaluations, but it is the only one I kept. From Baseball America June 2, 2006 "He can miss his spots at times and tends to be a bit wild in the strike zone, yet such criticism is nothing more than nitpicking. A more legitimate concern for scouts is that Miller's long, lanky body may lack the strength to allow him to be a workhorse starter or to maintain his stuff deep into starts. Similar issues affect his mechanics and could raise injury concerns as well."
  3. Mainly his stay with the Tigers, but his college ratio of 2:1 IP:W isn't all that encouraging, either. Most overpowering college pitchers attack college hitters better than that. The numbers with the Tigers were horrible. Scouting reports question his mechanics, too.
  4. Sorry, but I'm not sold on Miller. His two biggest attributes seem to be that he's a number one pick and he throws left-handed. The velocity would be impressive if he threw strikes. Right now he can't even be used to face a situational left-handed hitter. Don't expect him to be an actual contributor to the big club for several years. His secondary stuff is poor, too.
  5. Miller is the most over-rated pitcher in our system. If you can't throw strikes, I don't care which arm you throw with. But what's worse si he can't throw strikes to left-handers. When he proves he can do that, then we can begin to anoint him the next Verlander. Sendy Vasquez is a guy to keep an eye on this spring. During his final few outings in WM he was in the mid-90s with late movement. I think this guy has finally figured it out.
  6. Still a pretty good trade though. As long as Shef can put fear into the hearts of opposing pitchers, Zumaya can close, and we can find another set-up guy, it will be good. If Sanchez, Whelen, and Claggett all have 10 year big league careers...then, not so good.
  7. We didn't get a HOF player. He put up his HOF numbers for five other teams. What we got is a player with declining numbers over the past five years. They're still very good numbers right now, but when will Shef hit the wall?
  8. IMO Sager is getting a bum rap here. The idea that West Michigan pitchers benifited tremendously from their park isn't backed up by the stats. One way to judge a pitching staff is to look at their road stats compared to the rest of the league. WM's road OPS (.631) was .073 better than the league average (.704) - a significant number; WM's road WHIP (1.14) was .22 better (1.36) - a good number; WM's W/9 (2.32) was 1.03 better (3.35) - a very significant difference; WM's K/9 (6.85) was .47 below (7.32) - a slightly significant shortcoming. AJ and the Whitecaps didn't benifit much from their home park, supposedly a pitcher's paradise, either. Home OPS was actually higher (+.006), WHIP actually higher (+0.05), W/9 actually higher (+0.08), K/9 was the only stat better at home (+0.29). Since we now have data to back up opinions (I can't find any pre-2006 splits), I think we can conclude that the park is not as big a factor as commonly thought and that AJ did an admirable job. Any arguements?
  9. What I actually said was that POY must mean SOMEONE in the organization must like him. I think the following BA link will confirm my opinion. Or do you think Ezell is just blowing smoke? http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/minors/features/262574.html
  10. I guess that keeping the ball down in the zone could be a big part of that philosophy. My understanding of the term "pitching to contact" is basically "don't be afraid of contact early in the count." I think the idea is to throw strikes down in the zone, hope a ball in play is a ground ball somewhere, get ahead in the count, and get nasty when you have an 0-2, 1-2, 2-2 count. I could be wrong, but that's my understanding.
  11. I just did some research on that, and it appears that AJ didn't have older talent. His staff was a mere one month older than the Midwest League average. The average is just slightly over 22 years old. Pitching to contact is another way of saying get ahead in the count. Within the first three pitches a pitcher should have a two strike count or have the ball in play. After two strikes the idea is to get the strikeout. Besides lowering pitch counts, it improves W/9 ratios and WHIPs. W/9 relates to runs allowed more than any stat I can find.
  12. How much does age affect prospect evaluations? I understand that an eighteen year old in high A is on the fast track, but since research shows that college players make it to the big leagues quicker than high school picks, do you dock a kid for being 22 and in High A? I ask this because I did my own informal research of the Midwest League and found that the average age of that league is 22 yr. 1 mo. with pitchers being 22 yr. and 2 mo. I noticed that an article in TigTown discounted the WM and Toledo championships because they used "older players." My research of the Midwest League (I'll check the IL next) shows that that oft repeated remark is wrong. The West Mich. team average was one month older in each catagory. Anyway, it seems that a 22 year old in High A would actually be ahead of the curve. Some opinions and feedback?
  13. I have to disagree with you on two things. A prospects status within an organization is based, in part, on performance. There are other evaluations that carry more weight, but performance counts. Secondly, IMHO you don't truely get an idea of the probability of a guy making the majors from the people on this site. We do get good information from some of the people who actually attend Tigers' organization minor league games, but a "good idea of the probability of a guy making the majors," - no. It's all fun speculation. It's a kind of Tigers' minor league fantasy GM job. I do enjoy the conversations and insights, though.
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