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Everything posted by IdahoBert

  1. Is this a trick question Biff? An Iranian remembering Iraq's attack on his country? A Kurd? Did we give Blackhawks to Saddam? Did they even exist back then?
  2. All it is, is what it says. They've polled those casting early ballots and that's the result. It might mean that the Democrats are really motivated and were delighted to vote first. It might mean, as LansingLugnut said, that these votes came from big cities. What it certainly means is that Bush has some huge ground to make up in Florida and Iowa with 31% and 27% of the votes already cast. If I were a Republican in these states and was thinking of not getting to the polls tomorrow, this would certainly inspire me to get there.
  3. This late shift to Kerry is striking. It will ebb, but too late to affect the election. He's money!
  4. The latest national numbers, courtesy of Josh Marshall: The second national poll released Monday, the Marist poll, has Kerry up by one among likely voters (Kerry 49%, Bush 48%) and tied among registered voters (48%). All calls were made on Sunday. The final Fox News poll -- with calls on Saturday and Sunday only -- has Kerry over Bush 48% to 46% among likely voters. Among registered voters it's Kerry 47%, Bush 45%. Among those who've already voted, it's Kerry 48%, Bush 43%. Fox has been releasing not a tracking poll, but a new poll every day for the last four days: Friday, Bush +5; Saturday Bush +2; Sunday, tied; Monday, Kerry +2. According to Gallup's mega-final-ultra poll out Sunday evening, 30% of registered voters in Florida have already voted, either through early voting or by absentee. Of those who have already voted, Kerry leads President Bush 51% to 43%. According to the Des Moines Register poll out late Saturday evening, 27% of Iowa adults have already voted. And among those Kerry leads 52% to 41%. --From Salon (Nov.1)--
  5. Don't do that, Buddha. This country can survive all the leaders and all their followers combined. I felt the same way with both Nixon and Reagan's re-election and the sun still came up and life still went on. Our conservative friends on this board may feel the same way Wednesday morning and I'll tell them the same thing. Our institutions are stronger than the people running them. This is great for limiting the damage leaders can inflict, but bad for the inertia and stalemate it produces. None of us will ever see our dreams--good or bad--realized to the extent we expect.
  6. I hope to turn on the TV and see Tom Brokaw announcing a Kerry landslide so early that I don't have to stay up late.
  7. My sense is a surprising blowout--in electoral votes at least--for Kerry. 300-320 electoral. The "unknowns" of undecided, unpolled cell phone users, and high voter turnout just seem to be pointing in that direction. I would not be surprised if Bush wins, but I'd be more surprised if Kerry loses at this point. I've felt this way all along...We'll see. I just can't think about anything else. I don't how anyone could watch a game tomorrow. This is the only game in town that my attention span can focus on.
  8. Check this out. It's the "animated electoral map" for the website at the beginning of this thread. Don't pay attention to the states changing color; it's boring and hard to follow. Look at the bar graph in the lower right hand corner of the map as it tracks the daily ups and downs of the electoral vote tally from May 24 to today. The upswings tend to last a few days and Kerry is on the upswing right now. He could crest and go down in a couple days but the election is tomorrow. I think he's won...Wouldn't bet the lives of my children on it but almost... http://electoral-vote.caida.org/
  9. I'm surprised this poll is so close. Just a random sampling of the posts on this board would lead you to predict a 2-1 margin for Bush. Things that make you go hmmm...
  10. This guy works off Zogby and Gallup. ..His preference for some reason. But he also has a link for "Averaged Polls" that give Bush the lead. http://www.electoral-vote.com/fin/nov01z.html Just two days ago his average of Zogby and Gallup gave Bush a similar lead. Kerry is showing late strength in all the polls including his. "Big Mo" seems to be on Kerry's side. Here's another interesting tidbit from his recap for today as well: “As I have discussed repeatedly, normally people with a cell phone but no landline are not polled. Most of these are in the 18-29 year old group. Up until now, no one has known how their absence from the polling data might affect the results. Zogby has now conducted a very large (N = 6039) poll exclusively on cell phones using SMS messaging to get a feeling of how they will vote. The results are that they go strongly for Kerry, 55% to 40%, with a margin of error of only 1.2%. If they all vote tomorrow, the pollsters are going to spend the rest of the week wiping egg from their faces. But historically, younger voters have a miserable turnout record, so the pollsters need not yet stock up on paper towels.” People who have never voted are coming out in droves this year. The absentee lines where I live in Boise, Idaho are enormous. Two and three-hour waits when you can usually just walk right in. A local reporter there questioned 50 people who had never voted before and asked who they were voting for. It was 52-48 for Bush. Impressive for Kerry given that Idaho is a state where 67% are going for Bush already. What this tells me is that people who usually don't vote are going for Kerry in much higher numbers elsewhere.
  11. Gee, Sue et.al., I didn't mean to get everyone all riled up...all I wanted to do was post an article about a wonderful celebration, of people of all ages rejoicing, of old people living to see something they'd dreamed of, of people remembering their parents fondly and wishing they had lived to see the this event--and all Sue could say was the most negative thing possible. In context it looked like being a sore loser; perhaps I shouldn't try to read what's in people's hearts...
  12. When I take the kids trick or treating tonight in Boise it will be partly cloudy and about 35 degrees. Mason--2 1/2 will be a devil. Linley--6 will be in a pink poodle outfit Aubree--10 will be a flapper Mallory--almost 13 and her last time, Morticia Bert--Viking helmet with blond wig My wife doesn't dress up....except...nahhh... We'll visit the two adopted children's birth grandparents, our old neighborhood and a few cul de sacs in the new neighborhood. Then it's home for a hearty snack of brains (rice pudding) eye balls (grapes) and blood (cherry kool-aid).
  13. It's a "Deliverence" kind of thing. The border guards at the Idaho/Wyoming line thought I had a right pretty.....
  14. What a sore loser... The Yankees have 26 World Championships you can't let these people off the hook and go wild when they win only ONE crummy World Series in 86 years? Too bad all the "class" garnered from winning--did I say 26 World Championships?-- didn't stop Yankee fans from chanting "Who's your daddy" at Pedro in the 7th game. They had the chance to show the world that they too were wittnesses to one of the most extraordinary feats in sports history, but they couldn't restrain themselves from one last cheap shot.
  15. Thank you By Brian MacQuarrie, Globe Staff | October 31, 2004 After 86 years of legendary heartbreak, long-jilted Red Sox Nation found sweet release yesterday in a massive victory parade that turned crowded old Boston into a canyon of deafening euphoria. Millions of people, the largest crowd ever to gather in the city, cheered their heroes by land and by water in a sustained howl of joy that stretched from Fenway Park, through downtown, and onto the Charles River in Duck Tour boats. The world championship team, giddy and playful, responded in kind. Pedro Martinez danced. David Ortiz pointed at fans. Johnny Damon flashed the peace sign. Keith Foulke videotaped the spectacle. And Manny Ramirez held a fan-written sign about shortstop Derek Jeter of the archrival New York Yankees. ''Jeter is playing golf today," the sign read. ''This is better." The drizzle-spattered route featured delirious cheering, ear-to-ear smiles, and outstretched hands. The crowd jammed shoulder-to-shoulder, sometimes as many as 100 deep, behind 30,000 feet of steel barricades along the 3-mile land route. But despite the unprecedented numbers and a mass transit system stressed to the limit, the parade proceeded smoothly. By early evening, only 20 arrests had been reported. Gone, it seemed, were the frustration and resignation of 86 seasons past. The emotion of the day was full-throated exhilaration, and none of the fans were holding back. ''All is Forgiven" read a sign held on Cambridge Street by Army Lieutenant Colonel Al Bazzinotti, 42, of Dedham. Bazzinotti and Todd Darling, 42, of Charlton, kept a pact they had made 10 years ago to celebrate a world title. They attached two brooms to the sign, which they toted up and down the street, to symbolize the four-game World Series sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals. The parade route was lined with screaming fans from its beginnings near Fenway Park. They stood 20 deep on the sidewalks after the 10:15 a.m. start, swelling to 50, 75, and 100 deep as the motorcade crept past the Prudential Center, Boston Common, and Government Center. The effect was peaceful pandemonium. Fans stood on rooftops, climbed traffic lights, leaned out of high-rise apartments, and sat on windowsills to improve their view. The throng spanned all ages, as infants in strollers and grandparents in wheelchairs found places in a bobbing sea of red. ''My Dad lived for this," a sign read near the foot of Charles Street. The poster, which included a picture of the fan's father and his lifespan -- Nov. 26, 1925 to March 10, 2004 -- poignantly encapsulated the deep, cross-generation bonds that bind the team to New England. ''Our (late) parents and grandparents thank you," another sign read. Pauline and Peter Lorden of Shrewsbury, who watched the parade near Park Street Station, said the experience was bittersweet. For much of the last week, they said, each has thought about how happy the world championship would have made their deceased fathers. ''It's emotional," Peter Lorden said. ''I really wish he was here to see this." Late yesterday afternoon, police said they had reports of 63 injuries, 20 requiring a hospital visit. Mayor Thomas M. Menino, who watched the parade near Tremont and Boylston streets, praised the crowd's good behavior. The city estimated the crowd at 3.2 million, based on the depth of the crowd and the length of the route, and said the estimate took into account that many fans left Boylston Street and went to watch the procession a second time when it passed by on the Charles River. An MBTA spokesman said 1 million used the transit system -- a projection based on observations at stations and a count of vehicles entering T parking lots and garages. The mayor's office reconciled the discrepancy by saying many walked to the parade or came into the city by car. In an effort to avoid large disturbances, city officials decided not to stage a post-motorcade rally at City Hall. Instead, the Charles River leg was added to the land route to enable more people to view the parade. While the Duck Tour boats were in the water, near the Longfellow Bridge, Martinez was struck in the forehead by a ball thrown from the Boston side of the river. He appeared stunned but not seriously injured, witnesses said. As much as the celebration connected fans to their long-suffering past, the motorcade also allowed them a savor-the-moment chance to acknowledge this team's special season and the day's special moment of triumph. In Boston's long history, never have so many smiles been seen on so many. Most fans waited hours for a moment that, in the end, was merely a glimpse of the team. But few seemed disappointed. In one electric moment at Government Center, Santa Lopez, 37, made eye contact with slugger David Ortiz, who pointed at her with both index fingers while she played a guira, a musical instrument from their native Dominican Republic. ''I feel crazy!" Lopez, a preschool teacher from Boston, said after the boat carrying Ortiz passed. The excitement was no less pronounced along the Charles River, where the Duck Tour boats extended the parade in a round-trip excursion from the Museum of Science to the Massachusetts Avenue bridge that passed spectators on the Esplanade and along Memorial Drive in Cambridge. Before the boats arrived, a bagpiper marched up and down the Massachusetts Avenue bridge playing ''Take Me Out to the Ballgame." A school-age boy strolled the length of the bridge, high-fiving everyone and yelling, ''Go Sox." Several cars blasted ''Dirty Water," the Sox's unofficial victory song, from their speakers. The parade drew Red Sox supporters from all over the country. John Mulcave, 48, a Winchester native, flew from Colorado with his son Patrick, 14, after buying tickets as soon as the Red Sox won the World Series. Patrick was missing an honors society induction for the parade, said Mulcave, who added: ''You've got to get your priorities straight." Jarrad Plante, 22, of Dighton, flew to Boston on Saturday from Mississippi, where he is logging a year with AmeriCorps. His late grandfather, he said, was a diehard Red Sox fan. ''He would have done the same thing if he were me, and that is why I'm here," said Plante, attired in jean shorts, a gray Red Sox T-shirt, and sandals that he said he had worn for three weeks. At Boylston Street and Massachusetts Avenue, Joseph Abramoff and Matthew Manning, 23-year-old buddies who had grown up in Worcester, settled in after leaving Pennsylvania at 2 a.m. Anticipating Halloween, they wore matching, self-inflating sumo-wrestler costumes -- one marked to represent Ortiz, the other, Ramirez. ''This," Abramoff said, ''is the best day of our lives." Near them, 5-foot-1 Allison Bogosian stretched on her tiptoes and jumped to view the parade. She's 29, a lifelong Red Sox fan who grew up in Needham and lives in Stamford, Conn. When she wore a Red Sox cap to a bar there to watch the final playoff game against the New York Yankees, she had to sign a waiver that absolved management of responsibility in case she were injured. ''I saved it to frame," she said. As the Duck Tour boats slipped out of sight down Boylston Street, many fans headed down Massachusetts Avenue to watch the parade again from the banks of the Charles River. Some fans smoked victory cigars. A number of revelers masked their celebratory cocktails in oversize Red Sox mugs, paper coffee cups, and brown bags. About 1 p.m., when the first of the boats maneuvered past the corner of Massachusetts Avenue and Storrow Drive, the bridge erupted in a show of flashbulbs and flailing arms. One middle-aged man trumpeted his joy with a 3-foot plastic bugle. Others cried out the names of their favorite players: pitcher Curt Schilling, Ortiz, and Martinez. In the end, the emotional parade was a catharsis. Celebration and forgiveness. Ecstasy for the team's accomplishment and self-congratulation for years of frustrating fidelity. As Remi Browne, 51, of Manchester-by-the-Sea, said: ''I'm letting go of a lot of baggage, a lot of bitterness. I feel like I want to see Grady Little, I want to see Bill Buckner, and I want to apologize to them."
  16. I went as Ozzy two years ago and won a prize at my kid's "Harvest Ball." (You can't call it a "Halloween Party" because some religious people are offended by the idea). Last year I went as Tom Selleck with a Tiger's cap and a copy of the National Review in my back pocket. I had a sticker on my Hawaiian shirt saying "Charleton Heston is My President." No prize... This year I went as Uncle Fester. Had the robe, the light bulb and a rubber thingy on my head to make me look bald. Trouble is the "balding device" had a pointy little trap on the top and people kept asking me if I was a condom. Hmmm...no prize again.
  17. Great story!! Hooligans eh? Were they "ruffians" as well, or perhaps even "scallywags."
  18. On to the 3rd...Incredible game...
  19. That Boys of Boise remark..I wonder how many people get it Lee?
  20. I have dissed these guys all year. This is a very young team that has had some very good luck. In the last two games they have grown tremendously. People should watch out for them. Even I am now.
  21. I have no stake in this game and no right to root for one over the other. But, God, THIS is college football!! Tied again..
  22. We've had it the whole 18 years I've lived here. We don't think about it anymore. All the colorful stories about it are concocted to draw attention. The new turf is spongier and a lot better than the last turf.
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