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Thread: 2012-13 Offseason Discussion
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11-14-2012, 03:52 PM #1081
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11-14-2012, 03:55 PM #1082
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Haven't been on in ages but wanted to weigh in on the signing. Our lineup has a lot of question marks next year. A lot of guys who have been "inconsistent" last few years
Torii hit .313 16/92 last year but .262 23/82 year before. that is a .51 pt difference in batting average
Avila hit .295 19/82 two years ago but only .243 9/48 last year. that is a .52 pt difference in batting average
Jackson hit .300 16/66 last year but .249 10/45 the year before. that is a .51 pt difference in batting average
Jhonny hit .299 21/86 two years ago but .239 13/63 last year. that is a .60 pt differenc in batting average
To a lesser extent Dirks (with limited AB) - .322 8/35 last year but .251 7/28 year before. .71 pt difference in average
thats over half our starters who last two years have had .50+ point differences in batting average. And another starter is coming off a season without playing a game.
I would expect Omar to hit in the .270s and Miguel and Prince to do what they do, but I think the rest of the lineup is full of question marks.2010 AAL Louis Delmas - 84 tackles 2 sacks 2 FF - Pro Bowl Alternate
2010 AAW Johan Franzen (Mule) - 76 games 28 goals 27 assists +5
2011 AAT Jhonny Peralta .324/.359/.500 1 HR 4 RBI
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11-14-2012, 03:57 PM #1083
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11-14-2012, 04:13 PM #1084
Backup C, and a starter are next...
Unless its Holaday at C and Porcello and Smiley...which isn't too bad. I like Laird's Defense and game calling though...might hope to see him back."I remember the night they came for my father and mother. It was in the days when grain was plentiful ... we had eaten a simple meal of barley gruel on the porch. The car drove away into the night. I never saw them again ... ever again."
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11-14-2012, 04:29 PM #1085
Tony Paul @TonyPaul1984
Jim Bowden, who was first on the #Tigers pursuit of Hunter, now says the #Tigers are looking at another outfielder: Cody Ross.Adopt-A-Lion: Calvin Johnson - Broke Jerry Rice's single season receiving record
Adopt-A-Tiger: Tyler Collins
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11-14-2012, 04:35 PM #1086
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If they have to sign Ross also, then you really have to look at the Tigers inability to develop a corner OFer. This is ridiculous. I happen to think Dirks will do just fine until Castellanos/Garcia are ready.
Up above, aliens hover, making home movies for the folks back home.
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11-14-2012, 04:42 PM #1088
Bowden's tweet was from last night. That *could* mean that the Tigers had viewed Ross as a backup plan for Hunter.
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11-14-2012, 04:46 PM #1089
No need to sign Ross when they have Dirks. If they get an outfielder it will either be a big name or a platoon guy (which Ross won't want to do).
Lee Panas
detroittigertales.com
"They can use both (old- and new-school statistics)," Cabrera said. "In 2012, we've got to take advantage of all that.
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11-14-2012, 05:30 PM #1090
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Put me on record. Prince Fielder will still OPS 850+ in years 7-8-9 of this contract. (sucks that my signature has to stay this for 7 years now)
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11-14-2012, 05:34 PM #1091
Ross is basically a better version of Ryan Raburn. He can certainly demolish LHP and fields decently enough...if he's on he's also decent enough against RHP to be a regular or semi-regular. I would not be opposed to getting him, but folks should not expect him to repeat what he did in 2012, that was a bit of an up-year for him, and he's turning 33.
Introibo ad altare Dei
2013 AAT: Jim Price
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11-14-2012, 05:35 PM #1092
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11-14-2012, 06:20 PM #1093
Speaking of Cody Ross, Twitter is getting fun:
Cody Ross @IamCodyRoss “@Giancarlo818: Alright, I'm pissed off!!! Plain & Simple” What's new?Lee Panas
detroittigertales.com
"They can use both (old- and new-school statistics)," Cabrera said. "In 2012, we've got to take advantage of all that.
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11-14-2012, 06:31 PM #1094
Tony Paul was referencing a Jim Bowden tweet that came yesterday, before the Hunter signing.
On another note, I just read that Miami intends on starting Hechevarria at SS this spring and moving Escobar to 3b or (more likely) trading him.
Escobar is set to make 5 mil in 13, with 5 million dollar team options on him in 2014 and 15. Even in a down offensive year in 2012, he was still worth 2.5 bWAR, most of that coming from the glove. In comparison, Peralta was worth .8 last year and .7 in 2010 (but 3.5 in 2011).
Escobar is obviously a bit of a headcase, but could be an interesting trade candidate if the Tigers want to upgrade at SS for cheap. Peralta should not be too hard to spin off if this were to happen.
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11-14-2012, 06:49 PM #1095
Introibo ad altare Dei
2013 AAT: Jim Price
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11-14-2012, 07:44 PM #1096
Scott Hairston might make a nice platoon partner for Dirks to solve the LF questions...so could Melky Cabrera, or Shane Victorino, both on better, bargain deals than the Swishers, Hamilton, Bourns, the Uptons whowhatev...
As far guys with baggage or bad attitudez...i scoff.
Melky, Yunel Escobar will walk into a wall of intolerance of bs from Leyland, his coaches VMart, and Miggy .and now Torii...im not worried ..what a bunch of media darlings our Tigers are becoming...thru and thru.. Leylands specializing in " attitudez" and drama before...this team is built for taking exactly these types of risks imo.
The pay off of adding positive production from Melky, and Escobar , ad well as the trade off of flipping Peralta for another useful piece could pay huge dividends and be a key difference maker between this past offseason and next year .
I believe ...
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11-14-2012, 08:23 PM #1097
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Agree, however the more I think about it DD has never shown a willingness to pick up free agent bench players or platoon options. He's traded for a few but I have a stange feeling they probably stay internal and likely ride it out for a while with four outfielders, a backup catcher, DH and infielder. They usually leave the door open for internal options, not saying I agree but what history has shown.
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11-14-2012, 08:57 PM #1098
By my math, the Tigers' payroll is at $140M. Pretty crazy
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11-14-2012, 10:54 PM #1099
I like the Hunter signing. But I like it even more if they sign Ross. Initially, I wanted them to go big and go after Hamilton, but if they use Hamilton money to get two guys instead of one, I think that's a really prudent move. First of all, the risk is distributed among two players, not one. So if one gets injured, you still have the other guy. Second of all, the commitment in terms of years is much less, so again the risk is mitigated.
Improving on both corner OF positions also improves our WAR in two needed areas--not as much at each one individually had we gone after Hamilton, but enough at both combined that it equals adding a Hamilton-level bat cumulatively. Of course, with much less risk.AAT: 2007 L. Oliveros | 2008-10 F. Martinez | 2011 H. Perez | 2012 E. Suarez | 2013 J. Kobernus
"They turned the power to the have nots; and then came the shot!" - RATM
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11-15-2012, 08:43 AM #1100
Generally speaking, the Tigers have done a good job of avoiding black-hole positions.....I *still* don't understand what possessed them to put Raburn at 2B, then to leave him there for so long last year....I at least understood Delmon at DH and Boesch in RF, even if they were not good players they could at least hold their own, but the way they stuck with Boesch was ridiculous too.
I agree that Ross would be a good bet to keep a position from being a black hole...and he would definitely be a lefty-killer...not sure if he'd like a platoon/semi-regular situation, though, especially after his "up" year in 2012.Introibo ad altare Dei
2013 AAT: Jim Price
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11-15-2012, 09:54 AM #1101
Mark Bowman @mlbbowman
Sounds like the Braves are close to reaching an agreement with veteran catcher Gerald Laird.2013 AAT-Mr Ilitch 2012 AAL-Willie Young 2012 AAT-Dixon Machado 2011 AAL-Tom "Killer" Kowalski 2011 AAT-Heather Nabozny 2010 AAT-Phil Coke 2008 & 2007 AAT-Sergio Collado 2007 AT-AAT-Alan Trammell 1972 AAT-Duke Sims
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Good for Laird, in a non-sarcastic way. Hope he gets what he wants, but I don't expect him to be of much value as a starter.
Up above, aliens hover, making home movies for the folks back home.
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11-15-2012, 10:57 AM #1103
2013 AAT-Mr Ilitch 2012 AAL-Willie Young 2012 AAT-Dixon Machado 2011 AAL-Tom "Killer" Kowalski 2011 AAT-Heather Nabozny 2010 AAT-Phil Coke 2008 & 2007 AAT-Sergio Collado 2007 AT-AAT-Alan Trammell 1972 AAT-Duke Sims
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11-15-2012, 11:52 AM #1104
Sounds like a done deal now.
Ken Rosenthal @Ken_Rosenthal
#Braves in agreement with Laird to be their new backup catcher. @MLBBowman first reported deal was close.2013 AAT-Mr Ilitch 2012 AAL-Willie Young 2012 AAT-Dixon Machado 2011 AAL-Tom "Killer" Kowalski 2011 AAT-Heather Nabozny 2010 AAT-Phil Coke 2008 & 2007 AAT-Sergio Collado 2007 AT-AAT-Alan Trammell 1972 AAT-Duke Sims
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11-15-2012, 12:01 PM #1105
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I'm glad he won't be back. He did a good job for us but I am hoping we snag a guy like Shoppach or someone who can hit lefties. If its Holladay, I'll live
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11-15-2012, 12:24 PM #1106
We got more out of Gerald Laird this year than I thought was possible.
But tonight, I say we must move forward, not backward; upward, not forward; and always twirling, twirling, twirling towards freedom!
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11-15-2012, 12:32 PM #1107
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11-15-2012, 12:38 PM #1108
I expect the tigers to sign Sanchez, given that illitch appears to want it to happen and the increased national tv revenue everyone is getting.
Ajax is only the third most valuable tiger.
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11-15-2012, 12:43 PM #1109
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Ross is definately overkill, and not a good use of resources, in my opinion. I would have been fine with Ross, if we had not signed Hunter though.
Hard for me to believe we would not be set in one of the corner OF spots between the likes of Dirks, Berry, Boesch, Raburn, and Garcia. Particularly with Castellanos potentially ready in 2013 or 2014.Blessed be the LORD my strength, which teacheth my hands to war, and my fingers to fight; my goodness, and my fortress; my high tower, and my deliverer; my shield, and he in whom I trust; who subdueth my people under me. -- Psalm 144:1-2
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11-15-2012, 12:45 PM #1110
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Laird going to the Braves was a bullet dodged.
Blessed be the LORD my strength, which teacheth my hands to war, and my fingers to fight; my goodness, and my fortress; my high tower, and my deliverer; my shield, and he in whom I trust; who subdueth my people under me. -- Psalm 144:1-2
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11-15-2012, 12:53 PM #1111
Berry and boesch are terrible. Garcia will start the year in aa and is nowhere near ready for the majors, and raburn will be non tendered.
The question boils down to how they feel about dirks as the full time left fielder, or if they would prefer that he is the 4th of.
I expect them to rely on dirks and try to find a right handed bench outfielder. I could see them keep berry on the team for pinch running as a backup cf.
I could see them use infante as dirks platoon mate with worth or santiago playing 2b those days.Ajax is only the third most valuable tiger.
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11-15-2012, 12:53 PM #1112
Slowsilver: They did a study at Baseball Prospectus and found out that bionic parts increase WARP23 by 6.7% on average. Back in the steroid era, steroids only increased WARP23 by 4.6%
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11-15-2012, 12:53 PM #1113
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11-15-2012, 12:56 PM #1114
Rotoworld Baseball @Rotoworld_BB Selig says 12-player trade is 'under review' http://dlvr.it/2Tzz28
2013 AAT: Steven Moya
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11-15-2012, 12:57 PM #1115
Slowsilver: They did a study at Baseball Prospectus and found out that bionic parts increase WARP23 by 6.7% on average. Back in the steroid era, steroids only increased WARP23 by 4.6%
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11-15-2012, 12:57 PM #1116
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11-15-2012, 01:11 PM #1117
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I think Dombrowski and Leyland don't go shopping for troubled players period. Notice they got Miggy in rehab and Delmon Young isn't playing with the Tigers anymore. Then there is smaller stuff like just last year that included the Jeff Baker's retrade and Ryan Raburn being sent HOME in the middle of a critical penant run for god knows what.
And talent wise I think Escobar is less like Miguel Cabrera and more like Ryan Raburn and the Tigers already got Peralta at SS that has not given the Tigers any issues in the past.“Diplomacy is the art of saying "Nice doggie" until you can find a rock.” -Will Rogers
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11-15-2012, 01:18 PM #1118
Bobby Cox couldn't. Leyland also didn't handle Delmon nor some of Cabrera's problems. People are going to do what they're going to do. Escobar is a cancer, doesn't matter who the manager is.
Plus, Escobar isn't really that much better than Peralta. Even if he is, it's extremely marginally and not worth the risk.Last edited by alwaysthrowheat; 11-15-2012 at 01:24 PM.
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11-15-2012, 01:34 PM #1119
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11-15-2012, 01:41 PM #1120
"I remember the night they came for my father and mother. It was in the days when grain was plentiful ... we had eaten a simple meal of barley gruel on the porch. The car drove away into the night. I never saw them again ... ever again."
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